ClimateSim - a climate-change simulation app from ScienceBySimulation

Quick steps: • Select a scenario, and/or specify and save a trend for each greenhouse gas (GHG) • Click "Simulate" to run a climate simulation

Specify Emissions Trend	Select GHG:
Set Mid-Century Year
Specify Mid-Century Emissions		PgC
Specify Final Emissions (in the year 2100)		PgC

Select scenario:

Run simulation:

View Detailed Results

Emissions Trends	Year 2011	Mid-Century	Year 2100
CO2 (PgC) Mid-century:	0	0	0
CH4 (TgCH4) Mid-century:	0	0	0
N2O (TgN) Mid-century:	0	0	0

Summary Results

Simulated Final State (year 2100): ∆T: 0 ^oC; ∆RF: 0 W/m2; CO2 Conc.: 0 ppm; CH4 Conc.: 0 ppb; N2O Conc.: 0 ppb

Legend: ∆T=global mean annual surface temperature change relative to year 1750 (deg C); T=absolute mean annual surface temperature (deg K); ∆RF=radiative forcing relative to year 1750 (W/m2); Conc.=atmospheric concentration (ppm or ppb); λ=climate sensitivity (deg C/W/m2); ε=atmospheric longwave emissivity or absorptivity at thermal equlibrium (unitless); R=radiant flux density (W/m2); SW=shortwave; LW=longwave; A=albedo.

Detailed Simulation Results:
Global Earth System Response to GHG Perturbation

Year	Co2 Conc. (ppm)	CH4 Conc. (ppb)	N2O Conc. (ppb)	Co2 ∆RF (W/m2)	CH4 ∆RF (W/m2)	N2O ∆RF (W/m2)	Total ∆RF (W/m2)	λ (deg C/W/m2)	ε (unitless)	∆T (deg C)
2011	391.00	1803.00	324.00	1.82	0.51	0.18	2.51	0.39	0.90	0.99
2012	399.25	1803.00	327.30	1.94	0.51	0.19	2.63	0.39	0.90	1.02
2013	403.34	1803.00	330.60	1.99	0.51	0.20	2.69	0.38	0.90	1.03
2014	407.37	1803.00	333.90	2.04	0.51	0.21	2.76	0.38	0.90	1.05
2015	411.36	1803.00	337.19	2.10	0.51	0.22	2.82	0.38	0.90	1.06
2016	415.30	1803.00	340.49	2.15	0.51	0.23	2.88	0.37	0.90	1.07
2017	419.20	1803.00	343.79	2.20	0.51	0.24	2.94	0.37	0.90	1.09
2018	423.05	1803.00	347.09	2.25	0.51	0.25	3.00	0.37	0.90	1.10
2019	426.85	1803.00	350.39	2.29	0.51	0.26	3.06	0.36	0.90	1.11
2020	430.60	1803.00	353.69	2.34	0.51	0.27	3.12	0.36	0.90	1.12
2021	434.31	1803.00	356.99	2.39	0.51	0.28	3.17	0.36	0.90	1.14
2022	438.51	1803.00	360.28	2.44	0.51	0.29	3.23	0.36	0.90	1.15
2023	443.39	1803.00	363.58	2.50	0.51	0.30	3.30	0.35	0.90	1.16
2024	449.03	1803.00	366.88	2.57	0.51	0.31	3.38	0.35	0.90	1.18
2025	455.51	1803.00	370.18	2.64	0.51	0.32	3.47	0.35	0.91	1.20
2026	462.46	1803.00	373.48	2.72	0.51	0.33	3.56	0.34	0.91	1.22
2027	469.33	1803.00	376.78	2.80	0.51	0.34	3.64	0.34	0.91	1.23
2028	476.10	1803.00	380.08	2.88	0.51	0.35	3.73	0.34	0.91	1.25
2029	482.78	1803.00	383.37	2.95	0.51	0.36	3.81	0.33	0.91	1.27
2030	489.36	1803.00	386.67	3.03	0.51	0.37	3.90	0.33	0.91	1.29
2031	495.86	1803.00	389.97	3.10	0.51	0.38	3.98	0.33	0.91	1.30
2032	502.26	1803.00	393.27	3.16	0.51	0.38	4.05	0.32	0.91	1.32
2033	508.56	1803.00	396.57	3.23	0.51	0.39	4.13	0.32	0.91	1.33
2034	514.78	1803.00	399.87	3.30	0.51	0.40	4.21	0.32	0.91	1.35
2035	520.90	1803.00	403.16	3.36	0.51	0.41	4.28	0.32	0.91	1.36
2036	526.93	1803.00	406.46	3.42	0.51	0.42	4.35	0.32	0.91	1.38
2037	532.86	1803.00	409.76	3.48	0.51	0.43	4.42	0.32	0.91	1.39
2038	538.71	1803.00	413.06	3.54	0.51	0.44	4.49	0.31	0.91	1.41
2039	544.46	1803.00	416.36	3.60	0.51	0.45	4.55	0.31	0.91	1.42
2040	550.12	1803.00	419.66	3.65	0.51	0.46	4.62	0.31	0.91	1.44
2041	555.68	1803.00	422.96	3.71	0.51	0.47	4.68	0.31	0.91	1.45
2042	561.16	1803.00	426.25	3.76	0.51	0.48	4.74	0.31	0.91	1.46
2043	566.54	1803.00	429.55	3.81	0.51	0.49	4.80	0.31	0.91	1.48
2044	571.82	1803.00	432.85	3.86	0.51	0.49	4.86	0.31	0.91	1.49
2045	577.02	1803.00	436.15	3.91	0.51	0.50	4.92	0.31	0.91	1.50
2046	582.12	1803.00	439.45	3.95	0.51	0.51	4.97	0.31	0.91	1.52
2047	587.13	1803.00	442.75	4.00	0.51	0.52	5.03	0.30	0.91	1.53
2048	592.05	1803.00	446.05	4.04	0.51	0.53	5.08	0.30	0.91	1.54
2049	596.87	1803.00	449.34	4.09	0.51	0.54	5.13	0.30	0.91	1.56
2050	601.60	1803.00	452.64	4.13	0.51	0.55	5.18	0.30	0.91	1.57
2051	606.24	1803.00	455.94	4.17	0.51	0.56	5.23	0.30	0.91	1.58
2052	610.78	1803.00	459.24	4.21	0.51	0.57	5.28	0.30	0.91	1.60
2053	615.24	1803.00	462.54	4.25	0.51	0.57	5.33	0.30	0.91	1.61
2054	619.60	1803.00	465.84	4.29	0.51	0.58	5.38	0.30	0.91	1.62
2055	623.86	1803.00	469.14	4.32	0.51	0.59	5.42	0.30	0.91	1.63
2056	628.04	1803.00	472.43	4.36	0.51	0.60	5.47	0.30	0.91	1.64
2057	632.12	1803.00	475.73	4.39	0.51	0.61	5.51	0.30	0.91	1.66
2058	636.11	1803.00	479.03	4.43	0.51	0.62	5.55	0.30	0.91	1.67
2059	640.01	1803.00	482.33	4.46	0.51	0.63	5.59	0.30	0.91	1.68
2060	643.81	1803.00	485.63	4.49	0.51	0.63	5.63	0.30	0.91	1.69
2061	647.52	1803.00	488.93	4.52	0.51	0.64	5.67	0.30	0.91	1.70
2062	651.14	1803.00	492.23	4.55	0.51	0.65	5.71	0.30	0.91	1.72
2063	654.66	1803.00	495.52	4.58	0.51	0.66	5.75	0.30	0.91	1.73
2064	658.10	1803.00	498.82	4.61	0.51	0.67	5.78	0.30	0.91	1.74
2065	661.44	1803.00	502.12	4.64	0.51	0.68	5.82	0.30	0.91	1.75
2066	664.68	1803.00	505.42	4.66	0.51	0.68	5.85	0.30	0.91	1.76
2067	667.84	1803.00	508.72	4.69	0.51	0.69	5.89	0.30	0.91	1.77
2068	670.90	1803.00	512.02	4.71	0.51	0.70	5.92	0.30	0.91	1.78
2069	673.87	1803.00	515.32	4.74	0.51	0.71	5.95	0.30	0.91	1.79
2070	676.74	1803.00	518.61	4.76	0.51	0.72	5.98	0.30	0.91	1.80
2071	679.53	1803.00	521.91	4.78	0.51	0.73	6.01	0.30	0.91	1.81
2072	682.22	1803.00	525.21	4.80	0.51	0.73	6.04	0.30	0.91	1.82
2073	684.82	1803.00	528.51	4.82	0.51	0.74	6.07	0.30	0.91	1.83
2074	687.32	1803.00	531.81	4.84	0.51	0.75	6.10	0.30	0.91	1.84
2075	689.74	1803.00	535.11	4.86	0.51	0.76	6.12	0.30	0.92	1.85
2076	692.05	1803.00	538.41	4.88	0.51	0.77	6.15	0.30	0.92	1.86
2077	694.28	1803.00	541.70	4.90	0.51	0.77	6.18	0.30	0.92	1.87
2078	696.42	1803.00	545.00	4.91	0.51	0.78	6.20	0.30	0.92	1.88
2079	698.46	1803.00	548.30	4.93	0.51	0.79	6.22	0.30	0.92	1.89
2080	700.41	1803.00	551.60	4.94	0.51	0.80	6.25	0.30	0.92	1.90
2081	702.26	1803.00	554.90	4.96	0.51	0.81	6.27	0.30	0.92	1.90
2082	704.03	1803.00	558.20	4.97	0.51	0.81	6.29	0.30	0.92	1.91
2083	705.70	1803.00	561.49	4.98	0.51	0.82	6.31	0.30	0.92	1.92
2084	707.28	1803.00	564.79	5.00	0.51	0.83	6.33	0.30	0.92	1.93
2085	708.76	1803.00	568.09	5.01	0.51	0.84	6.35	0.30	0.92	1.93
2086	710.15	1803.00	571.39	5.02	0.51	0.84	6.37	0.30	0.92	1.94
2087	711.45	1803.00	574.69	5.03	0.51	0.85	6.39	0.31	0.92	1.95
2088	712.66	1803.00	577.99	5.04	0.51	0.86	6.40	0.31	0.92	1.95
2089	713.78	1803.00	581.29	5.04	0.51	0.87	6.42	0.31	0.92	1.96
2090	714.80	1803.00	584.58	5.05	0.51	0.88	6.43	0.31	0.92	1.97
2091	715.73	1803.00	587.88	5.06	0.51	0.88	6.45	0.31	0.92	1.97
2092	716.56	1803.00	591.18	5.07	0.51	0.89	6.46	0.31	0.92	1.98
2093	717.31	1803.00	594.48	5.07	0.51	0.90	6.48	0.31	0.92	1.98
2094	717.96	1803.00	597.78	5.08	0.51	0.91	6.49	0.31	0.92	1.99
2095	718.51	1803.00	601.08	5.08	0.51	0.91	6.50	0.31	0.92	1.99
2096	718.98	1803.00	604.38	5.08	0.51	0.92	6.51	0.31	0.92	2.00
2097	719.35	1803.00	607.67	5.09	0.51	0.93	6.52	0.31	0.92	2.00
2098	719.63	1803.00	610.97	5.09	0.51	0.94	6.53	0.31	0.92	2.01
2099	719.82	1803.00	614.27	5.09	0.51	0.94	6.54	0.31	0.92	2.01
2100	719.91	1803.00	617.57	5.09	0.51	0.95	6.55	0.31	0.92	2.01

Latitudinal Mean Temperatures (T, deg K)

Year	Mean	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	287.55	269.83	283.26	295.66	283.26	269.83
2050	288.13	270.44	283.84	296.26	283.84	270.44
2100	288.57	270.87	284.28	296.72	284.28	270.87

Latitudinal Net Incoming/Outgoing Radiant Flux Densities (R, W/m2)

Latitude	Incoming SW Radiation - 2011	Incoming SW Radiation - 2050	Incoming SW Radiation - 2100	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2011	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2050	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2100
90	123.242	123.465	123.465	190.558	190.698	190.738
45	209.629	209.629	209.629	225.906	225.921	225.933
0	295.792	295.792	295.792	264.957	264.890	264.840
-45	209.629	209.629	209.629	225.906	225.921	225.933
-90	123.242	123.465	123.465	190.558	190.698	190.738

Planetary Albedos (A)

Year	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	0.301	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.301
2050	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300
2100	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300

Surface Albedos (A)

Year	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	0.103	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.103
2050	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100
2100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100