ClimateSimTM a climate-change simulation app from ScienceBySimulation
 

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Quick steps: • Select a scenario, and/or specify and save a trend for each greenhouse gas (GHG) • Click "Simulate" to run a climate simulation
Specify Emissions Trend Select GHG:   
Set Mid-Century Year
Specify Mid-Century Emissions PgC
Specify Final Emissions (in the year 2100) PgC

Select scenario: Run simulation: View Detailed Results
Emissions Trends Year 2011 Mid-Century Year 2100
CO2 (PgC)
Mid-century:
0 0 0
CH4 (TgCH4)
Mid-century:
0 0 0
N2O (TgN)
Mid-century:
0 0 0
        Summary Results
Simulated Final State (year 2100):  T: 0  oC; RF: 0  W/m2; CO2 Conc.: 0  ppm; CH4 Conc.: 0  ppb; N2O Conc.: 0  ppb

Legend: T=global mean annual surface temperature change relative to year 1750 (deg C); T=absolute mean annual surface temperature (deg K); RF=radiative forcing relative to year 1750 (W/m2); Conc.=atmospheric concentration (ppm or ppb); λ=climate sensitivity (deg C/W/m2); ε=atmospheric longwave emissivity or absorptivity at thermal equlibrium (unitless); R=radiant flux density (W/m2); SW=shortwave; LW=longwave; A=albedo.

Detailed Simulation Results:
Global Earth System Response to GHG Perturbation

Year Co2 Conc. (ppm)CH4 Conc. (ppb)N2O Conc. (ppb)Co2 ∆RF (W/m2)CH4 ∆RF (W/m2)N2O ∆RF (W/m2)Total ∆RF (W/m2)λ (deg C/W/m2)ε (unitless)∆T (deg C)
2011391.001803.00324.001.820.510.182.510.390.900.99
2012396.111803.00327.301.890.510.192.590.390.901.01
2013398.781803.00330.601.930.510.202.630.390.901.02
2014401.571803.00333.901.970.510.212.680.380.901.03
2015404.481803.00337.192.010.510.222.730.380.901.04
2016407.501803.00340.492.050.510.232.780.380.901.05
2017410.621803.00343.792.090.510.242.830.380.901.06
2018413.861803.00347.092.130.510.252.880.370.901.07
2019417.191803.00350.392.170.510.262.940.370.901.09
2020420.631803.00353.692.220.510.272.990.370.901.10
2021424.171803.00356.992.260.510.283.040.360.901.11
2022427.801803.00360.282.310.510.293.100.360.901.12
2023431.521803.00363.582.350.510.303.160.360.901.13
2024435.511803.00366.882.400.510.313.220.360.901.15
2025440.101803.00370.182.460.510.323.280.350.901.16
2026445.381803.00373.482.520.510.333.350.350.901.18
2027451.411803.00376.782.590.510.343.440.350.911.19
2028458.281803.00380.082.670.510.353.530.340.911.21
2029466.071803.00383.372.760.510.363.630.340.911.23
2030474.701803.00386.672.860.510.373.730.340.911.25
2031483.471803.00389.972.960.510.383.840.330.911.27
2032492.401803.00393.273.060.510.383.950.330.911.30
2033501.461803.00396.573.160.510.394.060.320.911.32
2034510.671803.00399.873.250.510.404.160.320.911.34
2035520.021803.00403.163.350.510.414.270.320.911.36
2036529.491803.00406.463.450.510.424.370.320.911.38
2037539.101803.00409.763.540.510.434.480.310.911.41
2038548.831803.00413.063.640.510.444.580.310.911.43
2039558.691803.00416.363.730.510.454.690.310.911.45
2040568.661803.00419.663.830.510.464.790.310.911.48
2041578.761803.00422.963.920.510.474.900.310.911.50
2042588.961803.00426.254.020.510.485.000.300.911.52
2043599.281803.00429.554.110.510.495.100.300.911.55
2044609.701803.00432.854.200.510.495.200.300.911.57
2045620.231803.00436.154.290.510.505.300.300.911.60
2046630.871803.00439.454.380.510.515.400.300.911.63
2047641.601803.00442.754.470.510.525.500.300.911.66
2048652.431803.00446.054.560.510.535.600.300.911.68
2049663.351803.00449.344.650.510.545.700.300.911.71
2050674.371803.00452.644.740.510.555.790.300.911.74
2051685.481803.00455.944.830.510.565.890.300.911.77
2052696.671803.00459.244.920.510.575.990.300.911.80
2053707.961803.00462.545.000.510.576.080.300.911.84
2054719.341803.00465.845.090.510.586.170.300.921.87
2055730.801803.00469.145.170.510.596.270.300.921.90
2056742.361803.00472.435.250.510.606.360.300.921.94
2057754.001803.00475.735.340.510.616.450.310.921.97
2058765.731803.00479.035.420.510.626.540.310.922.01
2059777.561803.00482.335.500.510.636.630.310.922.05
2060789.471803.00485.635.580.510.636.720.310.922.09
2061801.471803.00488.935.660.510.646.810.310.922.13
2062813.571803.00492.235.740.510.656.900.310.922.17
2063825.751803.00495.525.820.510.666.990.320.922.21
2064838.021803.00498.825.900.510.677.080.320.922.25
2065850.381803.00502.125.980.510.687.160.320.922.30
2066862.831803.00505.426.060.510.687.250.320.922.34
2067875.371803.00508.726.140.510.697.330.330.922.39
2068888.001803.00512.026.210.510.707.420.330.922.44
2069900.721803.00515.326.290.510.717.500.330.922.49
2070913.531803.00518.616.360.510.727.590.330.932.53
2071926.431803.00521.916.440.510.737.670.340.932.59
2072939.421803.00525.216.510.510.737.750.340.932.64
2073952.501803.00528.516.590.510.747.840.340.932.69
2074965.671803.00531.816.660.510.757.920.350.932.74
2075978.931803.00535.116.730.510.768.000.350.932.80
2076992.271803.00538.416.810.510.778.080.350.932.86
20771005.711803.00541.706.880.510.778.160.360.932.91
20781019.241803.00545.006.950.510.788.240.360.932.97
20791032.851803.00548.307.020.510.798.320.360.933.03
20801046.561803.00551.607.090.510.808.400.370.933.09
20811060.351803.00554.907.160.510.818.470.370.933.16
20821074.241803.00558.207.230.510.818.550.380.943.22
20831088.211803.00561.497.300.510.828.630.380.943.28
20841102.281803.00564.797.370.510.838.700.380.943.35
20851116.431803.00568.097.440.510.848.780.390.943.42
20861130.671803.00571.397.510.510.848.860.390.943.48
20871145.011803.00574.697.570.510.858.930.400.943.55
20881159.431803.00577.997.640.510.869.010.400.943.62
20891173.941803.00581.297.710.510.879.080.410.943.70
20901188.541803.00584.587.770.510.889.150.410.943.77
20911203.241803.00587.887.840.510.889.230.420.943.84
20921218.021803.00591.187.900.510.899.300.420.953.92
20931232.891803.00594.487.970.510.909.370.430.953.99
20941247.851803.00597.788.030.510.919.440.430.954.07
20951262.901803.00601.088.100.510.919.520.440.954.15
20961278.041803.00604.388.160.510.929.590.440.954.23
20971293.271803.00607.678.220.510.939.660.450.954.31
20981308.591803.00610.978.290.510.949.730.450.954.39
20991324.001803.00614.278.350.510.949.800.460.954.48
21001339.491803.00617.578.410.510.959.870.460.954.56
Latitudinal Mean Temperatures (T, deg K)
YearMeanLatitude +90Latitude +45Latitude 0Latitude -45Latitude -90
2011287.55269.83283.26295.66283.26269.83
2050288.30270.61284.01296.44284.01270.61
2100291.12273.36286.80299.70286.80273.36
Latitudinal Net Incoming/Outgoing Radiant Flux Densities (R, W/m2)
LatitudeIncoming SW Radiation - 2011Incoming SW Radiation - 2050Incoming SW Radiation - 2100Outgoing LW Radiation - 2011Outgoing LW Radiation - 2050Outgoing LW Radiation - 2100
90123.242123.465123.465190.558190.713190.973
45209.629209.629209.629225.906225.926226.043
0295.792295.792295.792264.957264.870263.183
-45209.629209.629209.629225.906225.926226.043
-90123.242123.465123.465190.558190.713190.973
Planetary Albedos (A)
YearLatitude +90Latitude +45Latitude 0Latitude -45Latitude -90
20110.3010.3000.3000.3000.301
20500.3000.3000.3000.3000.300
21000.3000.3000.3000.3000.300
Surface Albedos (A)
YearLatitude +90Latitude +45Latitude 0Latitude -45Latitude -90
20110.1030.1000.1000.1000.103
20500.1000.1000.1000.1000.100
21000.1000.1000.1000.1000.100




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