ClimateSim - a climate-change simulation app from ScienceBySimulation

Quick steps: • Select a scenario, and/or specify and save a trend for each greenhouse gas (GHG) • Click "Simulate" to run a climate simulation

Specify Emissions Trend	Select GHG:
Set Mid-Century Year
Specify Mid-Century Emissions		PgC
Specify Final Emissions (in the year 2100)		PgC

Select scenario:

Run simulation:

View Detailed Results

Emissions Trends	Year 2011	Mid-Century	Year 2100
CO2 (PgC) Mid-century:	0	0	0
CH4 (TgCH4) Mid-century:	0	0	0
N2O (TgN) Mid-century:	0	0	0

Summary Results

Simulated Final State (year 2100): ∆T: 0 ^oC; ∆RF: 0 W/m2; CO2 Conc.: 0 ppm; CH4 Conc.: 0 ppb; N2O Conc.: 0 ppb

Legend: ∆T=global mean annual surface temperature change relative to year 1750 (deg C); T=absolute mean annual surface temperature (deg K); ∆RF=radiative forcing relative to year 1750 (W/m2); Conc.=atmospheric concentration (ppm or ppb); λ=climate sensitivity (deg C/W/m2); ε=atmospheric longwave emissivity or absorptivity at thermal equlibrium (unitless); R=radiant flux density (W/m2); SW=shortwave; LW=longwave; A=albedo.

Detailed Simulation Results:
Global Earth System Response to GHG Perturbation

Year	Co2 Conc. (ppm)	CH4 Conc. (ppb)	N2O Conc. (ppb)	Co2 ∆RF (W/m2)	CH4 ∆RF (W/m2)	N2O ∆RF (W/m2)	Total ∆RF (W/m2)	λ (deg C/W/m2)	ε (unitless)	∆T (deg C)
2011	391.00	1803.00	324.00	1.82	0.51	0.18	2.51	0.39	0.90	0.99
2012	395.91	1805.53	327.33	1.89	0.51	0.19	2.59	0.39	0.90	1.00
2013	398.40	1810.52	330.71	1.93	0.51	0.20	2.63	0.39	0.90	1.02
2014	400.91	1817.92	334.11	1.96	0.51	0.21	2.68	0.38	0.90	1.03
2015	403.45	1827.66	337.55	1.99	0.51	0.22	2.73	0.38	0.90	1.04
2016	406.01	1839.68	341.02	2.03	0.52	0.23	2.78	0.38	0.90	1.05
2017	408.59	1853.92	344.52	2.06	0.52	0.24	2.83	0.38	0.90	1.06
2018	411.20	1870.32	348.06	2.09	0.53	0.25	2.88	0.37	0.90	1.07
2019	413.83	1888.83	351.62	2.13	0.54	0.26	2.93	0.37	0.90	1.08
2020	416.49	1909.40	355.22	2.16	0.54	0.27	2.98	0.37	0.90	1.10
2021	419.17	1931.97	358.84	2.20	0.55	0.28	3.03	0.36	0.90	1.11
2022	422.18	1956.50	362.49	2.24	0.56	0.30	3.09	0.36	0.90	1.12
2023	425.82	1982.92	366.17	2.28	0.57	0.31	3.16	0.36	0.90	1.13
2024	430.18	2008.67	369.88	2.34	0.58	0.32	3.23	0.36	0.90	1.15
2025	435.35	2033.75	373.61	2.40	0.59	0.33	3.32	0.35	0.90	1.17
2026	440.91	2058.19	377.36	2.47	0.60	0.34	3.40	0.35	0.91	1.18
2027	446.51	2082.01	381.15	2.53	0.60	0.35	3.49	0.34	0.91	1.20
2028	452.14	2105.21	384.95	2.60	0.61	0.36	3.58	0.34	0.91	1.22
2029	457.81	2127.83	388.78	2.67	0.62	0.37	3.66	0.34	0.91	1.24
2030	463.51	2149.86	392.63	2.73	0.63	0.38	3.75	0.33	0.91	1.25
2031	469.25	2171.32	396.51	2.80	0.63	0.39	3.83	0.33	0.91	1.27
2032	475.02	2192.24	400.40	2.87	0.64	0.41	3.91	0.33	0.91	1.29
2033	480.82	2212.62	404.32	2.93	0.65	0.42	4.00	0.33	0.91	1.31
2034	486.66	2232.47	408.25	3.00	0.66	0.43	4.08	0.32	0.91	1.32
2035	492.52	2251.82	412.21	3.06	0.66	0.44	4.16	0.32	0.91	1.34
2036	498.42	2270.67	416.19	3.12	0.67	0.45	4.24	0.32	0.91	1.36
2037	504.34	2289.04	420.18	3.19	0.67	0.46	4.32	0.32	0.91	1.37
2038	510.29	2306.94	424.20	3.25	0.68	0.47	4.40	0.32	0.91	1.39
2039	516.27	2324.37	428.23	3.31	0.69	0.48	4.48	0.31	0.91	1.41
2040	522.28	2341.36	432.28	3.37	0.69	0.49	4.56	0.31	0.91	1.42
2041	528.31	2357.92	436.35	3.44	0.70	0.50	4.64	0.31	0.91	1.44
2042	534.37	2374.05	440.43	3.50	0.70	0.52	4.71	0.31	0.91	1.46
2043	540.45	2389.77	444.53	3.56	0.71	0.53	4.79	0.31	0.91	1.47
2044	546.56	2405.08	448.65	3.62	0.71	0.54	4.87	0.31	0.91	1.49
2045	552.69	2420.00	452.78	3.68	0.72	0.55	4.94	0.31	0.91	1.51
2046	558.85	2434.54	456.92	3.74	0.72	0.56	5.02	0.30	0.91	1.53
2047	565.02	2448.71	461.08	3.79	0.73	0.57	5.09	0.30	0.91	1.55
2048	571.22	2462.51	465.26	3.85	0.73	0.58	5.16	0.30	0.91	1.56
2049	577.44	2475.96	469.45	3.91	0.73	0.59	5.24	0.30	0.91	1.58
2050	583.68	2489.06	473.65	3.97	0.74	0.60	5.31	0.30	0.91	1.60
2051	589.87	2498.93	477.82	4.02	0.74	0.61	5.38	0.30	0.91	1.62
2052	596.02	2505.58	481.96	4.08	0.74	0.62	5.45	0.30	0.91	1.64
2053	602.11	2509.06	486.07	4.13	0.74	0.64	5.51	0.30	0.91	1.66
2054	608.16	2509.39	490.15	4.19	0.74	0.65	5.58	0.30	0.91	1.68
2055	614.16	2506.61	494.19	4.24	0.74	0.66	5.64	0.30	0.91	1.70
2056	620.11	2500.74	498.21	4.29	0.74	0.67	5.70	0.30	0.91	1.71
2057	626.02	2491.80	502.19	4.34	0.74	0.68	5.76	0.30	0.91	1.73
2058	631.87	2479.84	506.15	4.39	0.73	0.69	5.81	0.30	0.91	1.75
2059	637.68	2464.87	510.07	4.44	0.73	0.70	5.87	0.30	0.91	1.77
2060	643.44	2446.93	513.96	4.49	0.72	0.71	5.92	0.30	0.91	1.78
2061	649.15	2426.03	517.81	4.54	0.72	0.72	5.97	0.30	0.91	1.80
2062	654.81	2402.20	521.64	4.58	0.71	0.72	6.02	0.30	0.91	1.82
2063	660.43	2378.37	525.44	4.63	0.70	0.73	6.07	0.30	0.91	1.83
2064	666.00	2354.54	529.20	4.67	0.70	0.74	6.11	0.30	0.92	1.85
2065	671.51	2330.71	532.93	4.72	0.69	0.75	6.16	0.30	0.92	1.86
2066	676.99	2306.88	536.63	4.76	0.68	0.76	6.20	0.30	0.92	1.88
2067	682.41	2283.05	540.31	4.80	0.67	0.77	6.25	0.30	0.92	1.90
2068	687.78	2259.23	543.94	4.85	0.66	0.78	6.29	0.30	0.92	1.91
2069	693.11	2235.40	547.55	4.89	0.66	0.79	6.33	0.30	0.92	1.93
2070	698.39	2211.57	551.13	4.93	0.65	0.80	6.37	0.30	0.92	1.94
2071	703.62	2187.74	554.67	4.97	0.64	0.80	6.41	0.31	0.92	1.96
2072	708.80	2163.91	558.19	5.01	0.63	0.81	6.45	0.31	0.92	1.98
2073	713.93	2140.08	561.67	5.05	0.62	0.82	6.49	0.31	0.92	1.99
2074	719.02	2116.25	565.12	5.08	0.62	0.83	6.53	0.31	0.92	2.01
2075	724.06	2092.42	568.54	5.12	0.61	0.84	6.57	0.31	0.92	2.02
2076	729.05	2068.59	571.93	5.16	0.60	0.85	6.60	0.31	0.92	2.04
2077	733.99	2044.77	575.29	5.19	0.59	0.85	6.64	0.31	0.92	2.05
2078	738.88	2020.94	578.61	5.23	0.58	0.86	6.67	0.31	0.92	2.07
2079	743.73	1997.11	581.91	5.26	0.58	0.87	6.71	0.31	0.92	2.08
2080	748.52	1973.28	585.17	5.30	0.57	0.88	6.74	0.31	0.92	2.10
2081	753.27	1949.45	588.40	5.33	0.56	0.88	6.78	0.31	0.92	2.11
2082	757.97	1925.62	591.60	5.37	0.55	0.89	6.81	0.31	0.92	2.13
2083	762.62	1901.79	594.77	5.40	0.54	0.90	6.84	0.31	0.92	2.14
2084	767.23	1877.96	597.91	5.43	0.53	0.91	6.87	0.31	0.92	2.15
2085	771.79	1854.14	601.02	5.46	0.52	0.91	6.90	0.31	0.92	2.17
2086	776.29	1830.31	604.09	5.49	0.52	0.92	6.93	0.31	0.92	2.18
2087	780.75	1806.48	607.14	5.52	0.51	0.93	6.96	0.32	0.92	2.20
2088	785.17	1782.65	610.15	5.55	0.50	0.93	6.99	0.32	0.92	2.21
2089	789.53	1758.82	613.13	5.58	0.49	0.94	7.01	0.32	0.92	2.22
2090	793.85	1734.99	616.08	5.61	0.48	0.95	7.04	0.32	0.92	2.24
2091	798.11	1711.16	619.00	5.64	0.47	0.95	7.07	0.32	0.92	2.25
2092	802.33	1687.33	621.89	5.67	0.46	0.96	7.09	0.32	0.92	2.26
2093	806.51	1663.51	624.74	5.70	0.45	0.97	7.12	0.32	0.92	2.28
2094	810.63	1639.68	627.57	5.73	0.44	0.97	7.14	0.32	0.92	2.29
2095	814.70	1615.85	630.36	5.75	0.43	0.98	7.17	0.32	0.92	2.30
2096	818.73	1592.02	633.12	5.78	0.43	0.99	7.19	0.32	0.92	2.31
2097	822.71	1568.19	635.85	5.80	0.42	0.99	7.21	0.32	0.92	2.32
2098	826.64	1544.36	638.55	5.83	0.41	1.00	7.23	0.32	0.92	2.34
2099	830.52	1520.53	641.22	5.86	0.40	1.00	7.26	0.32	0.92	2.35
2100	834.36	1496.70	643.86	5.88	0.39	1.01	7.28	0.32	0.92	2.36

Latitudinal Mean Temperatures (T, deg K)

Year	Mean	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	287.55	269.83	283.26	295.66	283.26	269.83
2050	288.16	270.47	283.87	296.30	283.87	270.47
2100	288.92	271.21	284.63	297.07	284.63	271.21

Latitudinal Net Incoming/Outgoing Radiant Flux Densities (R, W/m2)

Latitude	Incoming SW Radiation - 2011	Incoming SW Radiation - 2050	Incoming SW Radiation - 2100	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2011	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2050	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2100
90	123.242	123.465	123.465	190.558	190.701	190.769
45	209.629	209.629	209.629	225.906	225.922	225.941
0	295.792	295.792	295.792	264.957	264.886	264.802
-45	209.629	209.629	209.629	225.906	225.922	225.941
-90	123.242	123.465	123.465	190.558	190.701	190.769

Planetary Albedos (A)

Year	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	0.301	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.301
2050	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300
2100	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300

Surface Albedos (A)

Year	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	0.103	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.103
2050	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100
2100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100