ClimateSimTM a climate-change simulation app from ScienceBySimulation
 

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Quick steps: • Select a scenario, and/or specify and save a trend for each greenhouse gas (GHG) • Click "Simulate" to run a climate simulation
Specify Emissions Trend Select GHG:   
Set Mid-Century Year
Specify Mid-Century Emissions PgC
Specify Final Emissions (in the year 2100) PgC

Select scenario: Run simulation: View Detailed Results
Emissions Trends Year 2011 Mid-Century Year 2100
CO2 (PgC)
Mid-century:
0 0 0
CH4 (TgCH4)
Mid-century:
0 0 0
N2O (TgN)
Mid-century:
0 0 0
        Summary Results
Simulated Final State (year 2100):  T: 0  oC; RF: 0  W/m2; CO2 Conc.: 0  ppm; CH4 Conc.: 0  ppb; N2O Conc.: 0  ppb

Legend: T=global mean annual surface temperature change relative to year 1750 (deg C); T=absolute mean annual surface temperature (deg K); RF=radiative forcing relative to year 1750 (W/m2); Conc.=atmospheric concentration (ppm or ppb); λ=climate sensitivity (deg C/W/m2); ε=atmospheric longwave emissivity or absorptivity at thermal equlibrium (unitless); R=radiant flux density (W/m2); SW=shortwave; LW=longwave; A=albedo.

Detailed Simulation Results:
Global Earth System Response to GHG Perturbation

Year Co2 Conc. (ppm)CH4 Conc. (ppb)N2O Conc. (ppb)Co2 ∆RF (W/m2)CH4 ∆RF (W/m2)N2O ∆RF (W/m2)Total ∆RF (W/m2)λ (deg C/W/m2)ε (unitless)∆T (deg C)
2011391.001803.00324.001.820.510.182.510.390.900.99
2012399.251803.00327.301.940.510.192.630.390.901.02
2013403.341803.00330.601.990.510.202.690.380.901.03
2014407.371803.00333.902.040.510.212.760.380.901.05
2015411.361803.00337.192.100.510.222.820.380.901.06
2016415.301803.00340.492.150.510.232.880.370.901.07
2017419.201803.00343.792.200.510.242.940.370.901.09
2018423.051803.00347.092.250.510.253.000.370.901.10
2019426.851803.00350.392.290.510.263.060.360.901.11
2020430.601803.00353.692.340.510.273.120.360.901.12
2021434.311803.00356.992.390.510.283.170.360.901.14
2022438.511803.00360.282.440.510.293.230.360.901.15
2023443.391803.00363.582.500.510.303.300.350.901.16
2024449.031803.00366.882.570.510.313.380.350.901.18
2025455.511803.00370.182.640.510.323.470.350.911.20
2026462.461803.00373.482.720.510.333.560.340.911.22
2027469.331803.00376.782.800.510.343.640.340.911.23
2028476.101803.00380.082.880.510.353.730.340.911.25
2029482.781803.00383.372.950.510.363.810.330.911.27
2030489.361803.00386.673.030.510.373.900.330.911.29
2031495.861803.00389.973.100.510.383.980.330.911.30
2032502.261803.00393.273.160.510.384.050.320.911.32
2033508.561803.00396.573.230.510.394.130.320.911.33
2034514.781803.00399.873.300.510.404.210.320.911.35
2035520.901803.00403.163.360.510.414.280.320.911.36
2036526.931803.00406.463.420.510.424.350.320.911.38
2037532.861803.00409.763.480.510.434.420.320.911.39
2038538.711803.00413.063.540.510.444.490.310.911.41
2039544.461803.00416.363.600.510.454.550.310.911.42
2040550.121803.00419.663.650.510.464.620.310.911.44
2041555.681803.00422.963.710.510.474.680.310.911.45
2042561.161803.00426.253.760.510.484.740.310.911.46
2043566.541803.00429.553.810.510.494.800.310.911.48
2044571.821803.00432.853.860.510.494.860.310.911.49
2045577.021803.00436.153.910.510.504.920.310.911.50
2046582.121803.00439.453.950.510.514.970.310.911.52
2047587.131803.00442.754.000.510.525.030.300.911.53
2048592.051803.00446.054.040.510.535.080.300.911.54
2049596.871803.00449.344.090.510.545.130.300.911.56
2050601.601803.00452.644.130.510.555.180.300.911.57
2051606.241803.00455.944.170.510.565.230.300.911.58
2052610.781803.00459.244.210.510.575.280.300.911.60
2053615.241803.00462.544.250.510.575.330.300.911.61
2054619.601803.00465.844.290.510.585.380.300.911.62
2055623.861803.00469.144.320.510.595.420.300.911.63
2056628.041803.00472.434.360.510.605.470.300.911.64
2057632.121803.00475.734.390.510.615.510.300.911.66
2058636.111803.00479.034.430.510.625.550.300.911.67
2059640.011803.00482.334.460.510.635.590.300.911.68
2060643.811803.00485.634.490.510.635.630.300.911.69
2061647.521803.00488.934.520.510.645.670.300.911.70
2062651.141803.00492.234.550.510.655.710.300.911.72
2063654.661803.00495.524.580.510.665.750.300.911.73
2064658.101803.00498.824.610.510.675.780.300.911.74
2065661.441803.00502.124.640.510.685.820.300.911.75
2066664.681803.00505.424.660.510.685.850.300.911.76
2067667.841803.00508.724.690.510.695.890.300.911.77
2068670.901803.00512.024.710.510.705.920.300.911.78
2069673.871803.00515.324.740.510.715.950.300.911.79
2070676.741803.00518.614.760.510.725.980.300.911.80
2071679.531803.00521.914.780.510.736.010.300.911.81
2072682.221803.00525.214.800.510.736.040.300.911.82
2073684.821803.00528.514.820.510.746.070.300.911.83
2074687.321803.00531.814.840.510.756.100.300.911.84
2075689.741803.00535.114.860.510.766.120.300.921.85
2076692.051803.00538.414.880.510.776.150.300.921.86
2077694.281803.00541.704.900.510.776.180.300.921.87
2078696.421803.00545.004.910.510.786.200.300.921.88
2079698.461803.00548.304.930.510.796.220.300.921.89
2080700.411803.00551.604.940.510.806.250.300.921.90
2081702.261803.00554.904.960.510.816.270.300.921.90
2082704.031803.00558.204.970.510.816.290.300.921.91
2083705.701803.00561.494.980.510.826.310.300.921.92
2084707.281803.00564.795.000.510.836.330.300.921.93
2085708.761803.00568.095.010.510.846.350.300.921.93
2086710.151803.00571.395.020.510.846.370.300.921.94
2087711.451803.00574.695.030.510.856.390.310.921.95
2088712.661803.00577.995.040.510.866.400.310.921.95
2089713.781803.00581.295.040.510.876.420.310.921.96
2090714.801803.00584.585.050.510.886.430.310.921.97
2091715.731803.00587.885.060.510.886.450.310.921.97
2092716.561803.00591.185.070.510.896.460.310.921.98
2093717.311803.00594.485.070.510.906.480.310.921.98
2094717.961803.00597.785.080.510.916.490.310.921.99
2095718.511803.00601.085.080.510.916.500.310.921.99
2096718.981803.00604.385.080.510.926.510.310.922.00
2097719.351803.00607.675.090.510.936.520.310.922.00
2098719.631803.00610.975.090.510.946.530.310.922.01
2099719.821803.00614.275.090.510.946.540.310.922.01
2100719.911803.00617.575.090.510.956.550.310.922.01
Latitudinal Mean Temperatures (T, deg K)
YearMeanLatitude +90Latitude +45Latitude 0Latitude -45Latitude -90
2011287.55269.83283.26295.66283.26269.83
2050288.13270.44283.84296.26283.84270.44
2100288.57270.87284.28296.72284.28270.87
Latitudinal Net Incoming/Outgoing Radiant Flux Densities (R, W/m2)
LatitudeIncoming SW Radiation - 2011Incoming SW Radiation - 2050Incoming SW Radiation - 2100Outgoing LW Radiation - 2011Outgoing LW Radiation - 2050Outgoing LW Radiation - 2100
90123.242123.465123.465190.558190.698190.738
45209.629209.629209.629225.906225.921225.933
0295.792295.792295.792264.957264.890264.840
-45209.629209.629209.629225.906225.921225.933
-90123.242123.465123.465190.558190.698190.738
Planetary Albedos (A)
YearLatitude +90Latitude +45Latitude 0Latitude -45Latitude -90
20110.3010.3000.3000.3000.301
20500.3000.3000.3000.3000.300
21000.3000.3000.3000.3000.300
Surface Albedos (A)
YearLatitude +90Latitude +45Latitude 0Latitude -45Latitude -90
20110.1030.1000.1000.1000.103
20500.1000.1000.1000.1000.100
21000.1000.1000.1000.1000.100




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