ClimateSim - a climate-change simulation app from ScienceBySimulation

Quick steps: • Select a scenario, and/or specify and save a trend for each greenhouse gas (GHG) • Click "Simulate" to run a climate simulation

Specify Emissions Trend	Select GHG:
Set Mid-Century Year
Specify Mid-Century Emissions		PgC
Specify Final Emissions (in the year 2100)		PgC

Select scenario:

Run simulation:

View Detailed Results

Emissions Trends	Year 2011	Mid-Century	Year 2100
CO2 (PgC) Mid-century:	0	0	0
CH4 (TgCH4) Mid-century:	0	0	0
N2O (TgN) Mid-century:	0	0	0

Summary Results

Simulated Final State (year 2100): ∆T: 0 ^oC; ∆RF: 0 W/m2; CO2 Conc.: 0 ppm; CH4 Conc.: 0 ppb; N2O Conc.: 0 ppb

Legend: ∆T=global mean annual surface temperature change relative to year 1750 (deg C); T=absolute mean annual surface temperature (deg K); ∆RF=radiative forcing relative to year 1750 (W/m2); Conc.=atmospheric concentration (ppm or ppb); λ=climate sensitivity (deg C/W/m2); ε=atmospheric longwave emissivity or absorptivity at thermal equlibrium (unitless); R=radiant flux density (W/m2); SW=shortwave; LW=longwave; A=albedo.

Detailed Simulation Results:
Global Earth System Response to GHG Perturbation

Year	Co2 Conc. (ppm)	CH4 Conc. (ppb)	N2O Conc. (ppb)	Co2 ∆RF (W/m2)	CH4 ∆RF (W/m2)	N2O ∆RF (W/m2)	Total ∆RF (W/m2)	λ (deg C/W/m2)	ε (unitless)	∆T (deg C)
2011	391.00	1803.00	324.00	1.82	0.51	0.18	2.51	0.39	0.90	0.99
2012	395.96	1803.00	327.30	1.89	0.51	0.19	2.59	0.39	0.90	1.00
2013	398.49	1803.00	330.60	1.93	0.51	0.20	2.63	0.39	0.90	1.02
2014	401.06	1803.00	333.90	1.96	0.51	0.21	2.67	0.38	0.90	1.03
2015	403.69	1803.00	337.19	2.00	0.51	0.22	2.72	0.38	0.90	1.04
2016	406.35	1803.00	340.49	2.03	0.51	0.23	2.77	0.38	0.90	1.05
2017	409.07	1803.00	343.79	2.07	0.51	0.24	2.81	0.38	0.90	1.06
2018	411.82	1803.00	347.09	2.10	0.51	0.25	2.86	0.37	0.90	1.07
2019	414.62	1803.00	350.39	2.14	0.51	0.26	2.90	0.37	0.90	1.08
2020	417.45	1803.00	353.69	2.18	0.51	0.27	2.95	0.37	0.90	1.09
2021	420.33	1803.00	356.99	2.21	0.51	0.28	3.00	0.37	0.90	1.10
2022	423.25	1803.00	360.28	2.25	0.51	0.29	3.04	0.36	0.90	1.11
2023	426.27	1803.00	363.58	2.29	0.51	0.30	3.09	0.36	0.90	1.12
2024	429.82	1803.00	366.88	2.33	0.51	0.31	3.14	0.36	0.90	1.13
2025	433.95	1803.00	370.18	2.38	0.51	0.32	3.21	0.36	0.90	1.14
2026	438.73	1803.00	373.48	2.44	0.51	0.33	3.27	0.35	0.90	1.16
2027	444.23	1803.00	376.78	2.51	0.51	0.34	3.35	0.35	0.90	1.17
2028	450.49	1803.00	380.08	2.58	0.51	0.35	3.43	0.35	0.91	1.19
2029	456.81	1803.00	383.37	2.66	0.51	0.36	3.52	0.34	0.91	1.21
2030	463.19	1803.00	386.67	2.73	0.51	0.37	3.60	0.34	0.91	1.23
2031	469.64	1803.00	389.97	2.81	0.51	0.38	3.69	0.34	0.91	1.24
2032	476.14	1803.00	393.27	2.88	0.51	0.38	3.77	0.33	0.91	1.26
2033	482.70	1803.00	396.57	2.95	0.51	0.39	3.85	0.33	0.91	1.28
2034	489.32	1803.00	399.87	3.02	0.51	0.40	3.93	0.33	0.91	1.29
2035	496.00	1803.00	403.16	3.10	0.51	0.41	4.02	0.33	0.91	1.31
2036	502.73	1803.00	406.46	3.17	0.51	0.42	4.10	0.32	0.91	1.33
2037	509.51	1803.00	409.76	3.24	0.51	0.43	4.18	0.32	0.91	1.34
2038	516.34	1803.00	413.06	3.31	0.51	0.44	4.26	0.32	0.91	1.36
2039	523.22	1803.00	416.36	3.38	0.51	0.45	4.34	0.32	0.91	1.38
2040	530.15	1803.00	419.66	3.45	0.51	0.46	4.42	0.32	0.91	1.39
2041	537.13	1803.00	422.96	3.52	0.51	0.47	4.50	0.31	0.91	1.41
2042	544.15	1803.00	426.25	3.59	0.51	0.48	4.58	0.31	0.91	1.43
2043	551.22	1803.00	429.55	3.66	0.51	0.49	4.65	0.31	0.91	1.44
2044	558.33	1803.00	432.85	3.73	0.51	0.49	4.73	0.31	0.91	1.46
2045	565.49	1803.00	436.15	3.80	0.51	0.50	4.81	0.31	0.91	1.48
2046	572.68	1803.00	439.45	3.87	0.51	0.51	4.88	0.31	0.91	1.50
2047	579.92	1803.00	442.75	3.93	0.51	0.52	4.96	0.31	0.91	1.51
2048	587.20	1803.00	446.05	4.00	0.51	0.53	5.04	0.30	0.91	1.53
2049	594.51	1803.00	449.34	4.07	0.51	0.54	5.11	0.30	0.91	1.55
2050	601.86	1803.00	452.64	4.13	0.51	0.55	5.19	0.30	0.91	1.57
2051	609.21	1803.00	455.94	4.20	0.51	0.56	5.26	0.30	0.91	1.59
2052	616.56	1803.00	459.24	4.26	0.51	0.57	5.33	0.30	0.91	1.61
2053	623.90	1803.00	462.54	4.32	0.51	0.57	5.40	0.30	0.91	1.63
2054	631.23	1803.00	465.84	4.39	0.51	0.58	5.48	0.30	0.91	1.65
2055	638.57	1803.00	469.14	4.45	0.51	0.59	5.55	0.30	0.91	1.67
2056	645.90	1803.00	472.43	4.51	0.51	0.60	5.62	0.30	0.91	1.69
2057	653.22	1803.00	475.73	4.57	0.51	0.61	5.68	0.30	0.91	1.71
2058	660.54	1803.00	479.03	4.63	0.51	0.62	5.75	0.30	0.91	1.73
2059	667.86	1803.00	482.33	4.69	0.51	0.63	5.82	0.30	0.91	1.75
2060	675.17	1803.00	485.63	4.75	0.51	0.63	5.89	0.30	0.91	1.77
2061	682.49	1803.00	488.93	4.80	0.51	0.64	5.95	0.30	0.91	1.79
2062	689.79	1803.00	492.23	4.86	0.51	0.65	6.02	0.30	0.91	1.82
2063	697.09	1803.00	495.52	4.92	0.51	0.66	6.08	0.30	0.91	1.84
2064	704.39	1803.00	498.82	4.97	0.51	0.67	6.15	0.30	0.92	1.86
2065	711.69	1803.00	502.12	5.03	0.51	0.68	6.21	0.30	0.92	1.88
2066	718.98	1803.00	505.42	5.08	0.51	0.68	6.27	0.30	0.92	1.91
2067	726.27	1803.00	508.72	5.14	0.51	0.69	6.34	0.30	0.92	1.93
2068	733.55	1803.00	512.02	5.19	0.51	0.70	6.40	0.31	0.92	1.95
2069	740.83	1803.00	515.32	5.24	0.51	0.71	6.46	0.31	0.92	1.98
2070	748.11	1803.00	518.61	5.30	0.51	0.72	6.52	0.31	0.92	2.00
2071	755.38	1803.00	521.91	5.35	0.51	0.73	6.58	0.31	0.92	2.03
2072	762.65	1803.00	525.21	5.40	0.51	0.73	6.64	0.31	0.92	2.05
2073	769.92	1803.00	528.51	5.45	0.51	0.74	6.70	0.31	0.92	2.08
2074	777.18	1803.00	531.81	5.50	0.51	0.75	6.76	0.31	0.92	2.10
2075	784.44	1803.00	535.11	5.55	0.51	0.76	6.81	0.31	0.92	2.13
2076	791.69	1803.00	538.41	5.60	0.51	0.77	6.87	0.31	0.92	2.15
2077	798.94	1803.00	541.70	5.65	0.51	0.77	6.93	0.31	0.92	2.18
2078	806.19	1803.00	545.00	5.70	0.51	0.78	6.98	0.32	0.92	2.21
2079	813.43	1803.00	548.30	5.74	0.51	0.79	7.04	0.32	0.92	2.24
2080	820.67	1803.00	551.60	5.79	0.51	0.80	7.09	0.32	0.92	2.26
2081	827.90	1803.00	554.90	5.84	0.51	0.81	7.15	0.32	0.92	2.29
2082	835.13	1803.00	558.20	5.88	0.51	0.81	7.20	0.32	0.92	2.32
2083	842.36	1803.00	561.49	5.93	0.51	0.82	7.26	0.32	0.92	2.35
2084	849.58	1803.00	564.79	5.98	0.51	0.83	7.31	0.33	0.92	2.38
2085	856.80	1803.00	568.09	6.02	0.51	0.84	7.36	0.33	0.92	2.41
2086	864.02	1803.00	571.39	6.07	0.51	0.84	7.42	0.33	0.92	2.44
2087	871.23	1803.00	574.69	6.11	0.51	0.85	7.47	0.33	0.92	2.46
2088	878.44	1803.00	577.99	6.16	0.51	0.86	7.52	0.33	0.92	2.50
2089	885.65	1803.00	581.29	6.20	0.51	0.87	7.57	0.33	0.93	2.53
2090	892.85	1803.00	584.58	6.24	0.51	0.88	7.62	0.34	0.93	2.56
2091	900.04	1803.00	587.88	6.29	0.51	0.88	7.67	0.34	0.93	2.59
2092	907.24	1803.00	591.18	6.33	0.51	0.89	7.72	0.34	0.93	2.62
2093	914.43	1803.00	594.48	6.37	0.51	0.90	7.77	0.34	0.93	2.65
2094	921.61	1803.00	597.78	6.41	0.51	0.91	7.82	0.34	0.93	2.68
2095	928.80	1803.00	601.08	6.45	0.51	0.91	7.87	0.34	0.93	2.71
2096	935.97	1803.00	604.38	6.49	0.51	0.92	7.92	0.35	0.93	2.75
2097	943.15	1803.00	607.67	6.54	0.51	0.93	7.97	0.35	0.93	2.78
2098	950.32	1803.00	610.97	6.58	0.51	0.94	8.02	0.35	0.93	2.81
2099	957.49	1803.00	614.27	6.62	0.51	0.94	8.07	0.35	0.93	2.85
2100	964.65	1803.00	617.57	6.66	0.51	0.95	8.11	0.36	0.93	2.88

Latitudinal Mean Temperatures (T, deg K)

Year	Mean	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	287.55	269.83	283.26	295.66	283.26	269.83
2050	288.13	270.44	283.84	296.26	283.84	270.44
2100	289.44	271.72	285.13	298.03	285.13	271.72

Latitudinal Net Incoming/Outgoing Radiant Flux Densities (R, W/m2)

Latitude	Incoming SW Radiation - 2011	Incoming SW Radiation - 2050	Incoming SW Radiation - 2100	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2011	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2050	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2100
90	123.242	123.465	123.465	190.558	190.698	190.820
45	209.629	209.629	209.629	225.906	225.921	226.006
0	295.792	295.792	295.792	264.957	264.890	263.167
-45	209.629	209.629	209.629	225.906	225.921	226.006
-90	123.242	123.465	123.465	190.558	190.698	190.820

Planetary Albedos (A)

Year	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	0.301	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.301
2050	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300
2100	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300

Surface Albedos (A)

Year	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	0.103	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.103
2050	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100
2100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100