ClimateSimTM a climate-change simulation app from ScienceBySimulation
 

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Quick steps: • Select a scenario, and/or specify and save a trend for each greenhouse gas (GHG) • Click "Simulate" to run a climate simulation
Specify Emissions Trend Select GHG:   
Set Mid-Century Year
Specify Mid-Century Emissions PgC
Specify Final Emissions (in the year 2100) PgC

Select scenario: Run simulation: View Detailed Results
Emissions Trends Year 2011 Mid-Century Year 2100
CO2 (PgC)
Mid-century:
0 0 0
CH4 (TgCH4)
Mid-century:
0 0 0
N2O (TgN)
Mid-century:
0 0 0
        Summary Results
Simulated Final State (year 2100):  T: 0  oC; RF: 0  W/m2; CO2 Conc.: 0  ppm; CH4 Conc.: 0  ppb; N2O Conc.: 0  ppb

Legend: T=global mean annual surface temperature change relative to year 1750 (deg C); T=absolute mean annual surface temperature (deg K); RF=radiative forcing relative to year 1750 (W/m2); Conc.=atmospheric concentration (ppm or ppb); λ=climate sensitivity (deg C/W/m2); ε=atmospheric longwave emissivity or absorptivity at thermal equlibrium (unitless); R=radiant flux density (W/m2); SW=shortwave; LW=longwave; A=albedo.

Detailed Simulation Results:
Global Earth System Response to GHG Perturbation

Year Co2 Conc. (ppm)CH4 Conc. (ppb)N2O Conc. (ppb)Co2 ∆RF (W/m2)CH4 ∆RF (W/m2)N2O ∆RF (W/m2)Total ∆RF (W/m2)λ (deg C/W/m2)ε (unitless)∆T (deg C)
2011391.001803.00324.001.820.510.182.510.390.900.99
2012395.861803.00327.301.890.510.192.580.390.901.00
2013398.291803.00330.601.920.510.202.630.390.901.01
2014400.721803.00333.901.960.510.212.670.380.901.02
2015403.151803.00337.191.990.510.222.710.380.901.03
2016405.581803.00340.492.020.510.232.750.380.901.04
2017408.001803.00343.792.050.510.242.800.380.901.05
2018410.431803.00347.092.080.510.252.840.370.901.06
2019412.861803.00350.392.120.510.262.880.370.901.07
2020415.291803.00353.692.150.510.272.920.370.901.08
2021417.721803.00356.992.180.510.282.960.370.901.09
2022420.151803.00360.282.210.510.293.000.370.901.10
2023422.921803.00363.582.240.510.303.050.360.901.11
2024426.181803.00366.882.290.510.313.100.360.901.12
2025430.011803.00370.182.330.510.323.160.360.901.13
2026434.481803.00373.482.390.510.333.220.360.901.15
2027439.341803.00376.782.450.510.343.290.350.901.16
2028444.191803.00380.082.510.510.353.360.350.901.18
2029449.051803.00383.372.570.510.363.430.350.911.19
2030453.911803.00386.672.620.510.373.490.340.911.20
2031458.771803.00389.972.680.510.383.560.340.911.22
2032463.631803.00393.272.740.510.383.630.340.911.23
2033468.491803.00396.572.790.510.393.690.340.911.24
2034473.341803.00399.872.850.510.403.760.330.911.26
2035478.201803.00403.162.900.510.413.820.330.911.27
2036483.061803.00406.462.960.510.423.880.330.911.28
2037487.921803.00409.763.010.510.433.950.330.911.30
2038492.781803.00413.063.060.510.444.010.330.911.31
2039497.641803.00416.363.120.510.454.070.320.911.32
2040502.501803.00419.663.170.510.464.130.320.911.33
2041507.351803.00422.963.220.510.474.190.320.911.35
2042512.211803.00426.253.270.510.484.250.320.911.36
2043517.071803.00429.553.320.510.494.310.320.911.37
2044521.931803.00432.853.370.510.494.370.320.911.38
2045526.791803.00436.153.420.510.504.430.310.911.39
2046531.651803.00439.453.470.510.514.490.310.911.41
2047536.511803.00442.753.520.510.524.540.310.911.42
2048541.361803.00446.053.570.510.534.600.310.911.43
2049546.221803.00449.343.610.510.544.660.310.911.44
2050551.081803.00452.643.660.510.554.710.310.911.46
2051555.941803.00455.943.710.510.564.770.310.911.47
2052560.801803.00459.243.750.510.574.830.310.911.48
2053565.661803.00462.543.800.510.574.880.310.911.50
2054570.511803.00465.843.850.510.584.930.310.911.51
2055575.371803.00469.143.890.510.594.990.300.911.52
2056580.231803.00472.433.940.510.605.040.300.911.53
2057585.091803.00475.733.980.510.615.100.300.911.55
2058589.951803.00479.034.030.510.625.150.300.911.56
2059594.811803.00482.334.070.510.635.200.300.911.57
2060599.671803.00485.634.110.510.635.250.300.911.59
2061604.521803.00488.934.160.510.645.300.300.911.60
2062609.381803.00492.234.200.510.655.360.300.911.61
2063614.241803.00495.524.240.510.665.410.300.911.63
2064619.101803.00498.824.280.510.675.460.300.911.64
2065623.961803.00502.124.330.510.685.510.300.911.66
2066628.821803.00505.424.370.510.685.560.300.911.67
2067633.671803.00508.724.410.510.695.610.300.911.69
2068638.531803.00512.024.450.510.705.650.300.911.70
2069643.391803.00515.324.490.510.715.700.300.911.71
2070648.251803.00518.614.530.510.725.750.300.911.73
2071653.111803.00521.914.570.510.735.800.300.911.74
2072657.971803.00525.214.610.510.735.850.300.911.76
2073662.831803.00528.514.650.510.745.900.300.911.77
2074667.681803.00531.814.690.510.755.940.300.911.79
2075672.541803.00535.114.730.510.765.990.300.911.81
2076677.401803.00538.414.760.510.776.040.300.911.82
2077682.261803.00541.704.800.510.776.080.300.911.84
2078687.121803.00545.004.840.510.786.130.300.921.85
2079691.981803.00548.304.880.510.796.170.300.921.87
2080696.841803.00551.604.920.510.806.220.300.921.89
2081701.691803.00554.904.950.510.816.260.300.921.90
2082706.551803.00558.204.990.510.816.310.300.921.92
2083711.411803.00561.495.030.510.826.350.300.921.94
2084716.271803.00564.795.060.510.836.400.310.921.95
2085721.131803.00568.095.100.510.846.440.310.921.97
2086725.991803.00571.395.140.510.846.490.310.921.99
2087730.841803.00574.695.170.510.856.530.310.922.01
2088735.701803.00577.995.210.510.866.570.310.922.02
2089740.561803.00581.295.240.510.876.620.310.922.04
2090745.421803.00584.585.280.510.886.660.310.922.06
2091750.281803.00587.885.310.510.886.700.310.922.08
2092755.141803.00591.185.350.510.896.740.310.922.10
2093760.001803.00594.485.380.510.906.780.310.922.12
2094764.851803.00597.785.410.510.916.830.310.922.13
2095769.711803.00601.085.450.510.916.870.310.922.15
2096774.571803.00604.385.480.510.926.910.310.922.17
2097779.431803.00607.675.520.510.936.950.320.922.19
2098784.291803.00610.975.550.510.946.990.320.922.21
2099789.151803.00614.275.580.510.947.030.320.922.23
2100794.011803.00617.575.610.510.957.070.320.922.25
Latitudinal Mean Temperatures (T, deg K)
YearMeanLatitude +90Latitude +45Latitude 0Latitude -45Latitude -90
2011287.55269.83283.26295.66283.26269.83
2050288.02270.33283.73296.15283.73270.33
2100288.81271.10284.52296.96284.52271.10
Latitudinal Net Incoming/Outgoing Radiant Flux Densities (R, W/m2)
LatitudeIncoming SW Radiation - 2011Incoming SW Radiation - 2050Incoming SW Radiation - 2100Outgoing LW Radiation - 2011Outgoing LW Radiation - 2050Outgoing LW Radiation - 2100
90123.242123.465123.465190.558190.687190.759
45209.629209.629209.629225.906225.918225.939
0295.792295.792295.792264.957264.903264.814
-45209.629209.629209.629225.906225.918225.939
-90123.242123.465123.465190.558190.687190.759
Planetary Albedos (A)
YearLatitude +90Latitude +45Latitude 0Latitude -45Latitude -90
20110.3010.3000.3000.3000.301
20500.3000.3000.3000.3000.300
21000.3000.3000.3000.3000.300
Surface Albedos (A)
YearLatitude +90Latitude +45Latitude 0Latitude -45Latitude -90
20110.1030.1000.1000.1000.103
20500.1000.1000.1000.1000.100
21000.1000.1000.1000.1000.100




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