ClimateSim - a climate-change simulation app from ScienceBySimulation

Quick steps: • Select a scenario, and/or specify and save a trend for each greenhouse gas (GHG) • Click "Simulate" to run a climate simulation

Specify Emissions Trend	Select GHG:
Set Mid-Century Year
Specify Mid-Century Emissions		PgC
Specify Final Emissions (in the year 2100)		PgC

Select scenario:

Run simulation:

View Detailed Results

Emissions Trends	Year 2011	Mid-Century	Year 2100
CO2 (PgC) Mid-century:	0	0	0
CH4 (TgCH4) Mid-century:	0	0	0
N2O (TgN) Mid-century:	0	0	0

Summary Results

Simulated Final State (year 2100): ∆T: 0 ^oC; ∆RF: 0 W/m2; CO2 Conc.: 0 ppm; CH4 Conc.: 0 ppb; N2O Conc.: 0 ppb

Legend: ∆T=global mean annual surface temperature change relative to year 1750 (deg C); T=absolute mean annual surface temperature (deg K); ∆RF=radiative forcing relative to year 1750 (W/m2); Conc.=atmospheric concentration (ppm or ppb); λ=climate sensitivity (deg C/W/m2); ε=atmospheric longwave emissivity or absorptivity at thermal equlibrium (unitless); R=radiant flux density (W/m2); SW=shortwave; LW=longwave; A=albedo.

Detailed Simulation Results:
Global Earth System Response to GHG Perturbation

Year	Co2 Conc. (ppm)	CH4 Conc. (ppb)	N2O Conc. (ppb)	Co2 ∆RF (W/m2)	CH4 ∆RF (W/m2)	N2O ∆RF (W/m2)	Total ∆RF (W/m2)	λ (deg C/W/m2)	ε (unitless)	∆T (deg C)
2011	391.00	1803.00	324.00	1.82	0.51	0.18	2.51	0.39	0.90	0.99
2012	395.96	1803.00	327.30	1.89	0.51	0.19	2.59	0.39	0.90	1.00
2013	398.48	1803.00	330.60	1.93	0.51	0.20	2.63	0.39	0.90	1.02
2014	401.05	1803.00	333.90	1.96	0.51	0.21	2.67	0.38	0.90	1.03
2015	403.65	1803.00	337.19	2.00	0.51	0.22	2.72	0.38	0.90	1.04
2016	406.30	1803.00	340.49	2.03	0.51	0.23	2.76	0.38	0.90	1.05
2017	408.99	1803.00	343.79	2.07	0.51	0.24	2.81	0.38	0.90	1.06
2018	411.70	1803.00	347.09	2.10	0.51	0.25	2.86	0.37	0.90	1.07
2019	414.46	1803.00	350.39	2.14	0.51	0.26	2.90	0.37	0.90	1.08
2020	417.24	1803.00	353.69	2.17	0.51	0.27	2.95	0.37	0.90	1.09
2021	420.05	1803.00	356.99	2.21	0.51	0.28	2.99	0.37	0.90	1.10
2022	422.90	1803.00	360.28	2.24	0.51	0.29	3.04	0.36	0.90	1.11
2023	425.90	1803.00	363.58	2.28	0.51	0.30	3.09	0.36	0.90	1.12
2024	429.43	1803.00	366.88	2.33	0.51	0.31	3.14	0.36	0.90	1.13
2025	433.54	1803.00	370.18	2.38	0.51	0.32	3.20	0.36	0.90	1.14
2026	438.30	1803.00	373.48	2.44	0.51	0.33	3.27	0.35	0.90	1.16
2027	443.80	1803.00	376.78	2.50	0.51	0.34	3.35	0.35	0.90	1.17
2028	449.76	1803.00	380.08	2.57	0.51	0.35	3.43	0.35	0.91	1.19
2029	455.77	1803.00	383.37	2.64	0.51	0.36	3.51	0.34	0.91	1.21
2030	461.81	1803.00	386.67	2.72	0.51	0.37	3.59	0.34	0.91	1.22
2031	467.81	1803.00	389.97	2.78	0.51	0.38	3.67	0.34	0.91	1.24
2032	473.77	1803.00	393.27	2.85	0.51	0.38	3.74	0.34	0.91	1.25
2033	479.70	1803.00	396.57	2.92	0.51	0.39	3.82	0.33	0.91	1.27
2034	485.59	1803.00	399.87	2.98	0.51	0.40	3.89	0.33	0.91	1.28
2035	491.44	1803.00	403.16	3.05	0.51	0.41	3.97	0.33	0.91	1.30
2036	497.25	1803.00	406.46	3.11	0.51	0.42	4.04	0.33	0.91	1.31
2037	503.03	1803.00	409.76	3.17	0.51	0.43	4.11	0.32	0.91	1.33
2038	508.76	1803.00	413.06	3.23	0.51	0.44	4.18	0.32	0.91	1.34
2039	514.46	1803.00	416.36	3.29	0.51	0.45	4.25	0.32	0.91	1.36
2040	520.13	1803.00	419.66	3.35	0.51	0.46	4.32	0.32	0.91	1.37
2041	525.75	1803.00	422.96	3.41	0.51	0.47	4.38	0.32	0.91	1.38
2042	531.34	1803.00	426.25	3.47	0.51	0.48	4.45	0.31	0.91	1.40
2043	536.89	1803.00	429.55	3.52	0.51	0.49	4.51	0.31	0.91	1.41
2044	542.40	1803.00	432.85	3.58	0.51	0.49	4.58	0.31	0.91	1.43
2045	547.87	1803.00	436.15	3.63	0.51	0.50	4.64	0.31	0.91	1.44
2046	553.31	1803.00	439.45	3.68	0.51	0.51	4.70	0.31	0.91	1.45
2047	558.71	1803.00	442.75	3.73	0.51	0.52	4.76	0.31	0.91	1.47
2048	564.07	1803.00	446.05	3.79	0.51	0.53	4.82	0.31	0.91	1.48
2049	569.39	1803.00	449.34	3.84	0.51	0.54	4.88	0.31	0.91	1.50
2050	574.67	1803.00	452.64	3.89	0.51	0.55	4.94	0.31	0.91	1.51
2051	579.92	1803.00	455.94	3.93	0.51	0.56	5.00	0.30	0.91	1.52
2052	585.13	1803.00	459.24	3.98	0.51	0.57	5.05	0.30	0.91	1.54
2053	590.30	1803.00	462.54	4.03	0.51	0.57	5.11	0.30	0.91	1.55
2054	595.43	1803.00	465.84	4.07	0.51	0.58	5.16	0.30	0.91	1.56
2055	600.53	1803.00	469.14	4.12	0.51	0.59	5.22	0.30	0.91	1.58
2056	605.59	1803.00	472.43	4.17	0.51	0.60	5.27	0.30	0.91	1.59
2057	610.61	1803.00	475.73	4.21	0.51	0.61	5.32	0.30	0.91	1.61
2058	615.59	1803.00	479.03	4.25	0.51	0.62	5.38	0.30	0.91	1.62
2059	620.54	1803.00	482.33	4.30	0.51	0.63	5.43	0.30	0.91	1.63
2060	625.45	1803.00	485.63	4.34	0.51	0.63	5.48	0.30	0.91	1.65
2061	630.32	1803.00	488.93	4.38	0.51	0.64	5.53	0.30	0.91	1.66
2062	635.15	1803.00	492.23	4.42	0.51	0.65	5.58	0.30	0.91	1.68
2063	639.94	1803.00	495.52	4.46	0.51	0.66	5.63	0.30	0.91	1.69
2064	644.70	1803.00	498.82	4.50	0.51	0.67	5.67	0.30	0.91	1.71
2065	649.42	1803.00	502.12	4.54	0.51	0.68	5.72	0.30	0.91	1.72
2066	654.10	1803.00	505.42	4.58	0.51	0.68	5.77	0.30	0.91	1.73
2067	658.74	1803.00	508.72	4.62	0.51	0.69	5.81	0.30	0.91	1.75
2068	663.35	1803.00	512.02	4.65	0.51	0.70	5.86	0.30	0.91	1.76
2069	667.92	1803.00	515.32	4.69	0.51	0.71	5.90	0.30	0.91	1.78
2070	672.45	1803.00	518.61	4.73	0.51	0.72	5.95	0.30	0.91	1.79
2071	676.94	1803.00	521.91	4.76	0.51	0.73	5.99	0.30	0.91	1.81
2072	681.39	1803.00	525.21	4.80	0.51	0.73	6.04	0.30	0.91	1.82
2073	685.81	1803.00	528.51	4.83	0.51	0.74	6.08	0.30	0.91	1.84
2074	690.19	1803.00	531.81	4.86	0.51	0.75	6.12	0.30	0.92	1.85
2075	694.53	1803.00	535.11	4.90	0.51	0.76	6.16	0.30	0.92	1.87
2076	698.83	1803.00	538.41	4.93	0.51	0.77	6.20	0.30	0.92	1.88
2077	703.10	1803.00	541.70	4.96	0.51	0.77	6.24	0.30	0.92	1.89
2078	707.33	1803.00	545.00	5.00	0.51	0.78	6.28	0.30	0.92	1.91
2079	711.52	1803.00	548.30	5.03	0.51	0.79	6.32	0.30	0.92	1.92
2080	715.67	1803.00	551.60	5.06	0.51	0.80	6.36	0.30	0.92	1.94
2081	719.79	1803.00	554.90	5.09	0.51	0.81	6.40	0.31	0.92	1.95
2082	723.86	1803.00	558.20	5.12	0.51	0.81	6.44	0.31	0.92	1.97
2083	727.90	1803.00	561.49	5.15	0.51	0.82	6.48	0.31	0.92	1.98
2084	731.90	1803.00	564.79	5.18	0.51	0.83	6.51	0.31	0.92	2.00
2085	735.87	1803.00	568.09	5.21	0.51	0.84	6.55	0.31	0.92	2.01
2086	739.80	1803.00	571.39	5.24	0.51	0.84	6.59	0.31	0.92	2.03
2087	743.68	1803.00	574.69	5.26	0.51	0.85	6.62	0.31	0.92	2.04
2088	747.53	1803.00	577.99	5.29	0.51	0.86	6.66	0.31	0.92	2.06
2089	751.35	1803.00	581.29	5.32	0.51	0.87	6.69	0.31	0.92	2.07
2090	755.12	1803.00	584.58	5.35	0.51	0.88	6.73	0.31	0.92	2.09
2091	758.86	1803.00	587.88	5.37	0.51	0.88	6.76	0.31	0.92	2.10
2092	762.56	1803.00	591.18	5.40	0.51	0.89	6.79	0.31	0.92	2.12
2093	766.22	1803.00	594.48	5.42	0.51	0.90	6.83	0.31	0.92	2.14
2094	769.85	1803.00	597.78	5.45	0.51	0.91	6.86	0.31	0.92	2.15
2095	773.43	1803.00	601.08	5.47	0.51	0.91	6.89	0.31	0.92	2.17
2096	776.98	1803.00	604.38	5.50	0.51	0.92	6.93	0.31	0.92	2.18
2097	780.49	1803.00	607.67	5.52	0.51	0.93	6.96	0.32	0.92	2.20
2098	783.97	1803.00	610.97	5.55	0.51	0.94	6.99	0.32	0.92	2.21
2099	787.40	1803.00	614.27	5.57	0.51	0.94	7.02	0.32	0.92	2.23
2100	790.80	1803.00	617.57	5.59	0.51	0.95	7.05	0.32	0.92	2.24

Latitudinal Mean Temperatures (T, deg K)

Year	Mean	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	287.55	269.83	283.26	295.66	283.26	269.83
2050	288.07	270.38	283.78	296.20	283.78	270.38
2100	288.80	271.09	284.51	296.95	284.51	271.09

Latitudinal Net Incoming/Outgoing Radiant Flux Densities (R, W/m2)

Latitude	Incoming SW Radiation - 2011	Incoming SW Radiation - 2050	Incoming SW Radiation - 2100	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2011	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2050	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2100
90	123.242	123.465	123.465	190.558	190.692	190.758
45	209.629	209.629	209.629	225.906	225.919	225.938
0	295.792	295.792	295.792	264.957	264.897	264.815
-45	209.629	209.629	209.629	225.906	225.919	225.938
-90	123.242	123.465	123.465	190.558	190.692	190.758

Planetary Albedos (A)

Year	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	0.301	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.301
2050	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300
2100	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300

Surface Albedos (A)

Year	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	0.103	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.103
2050	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100
2100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100