ClimateSim - a climate-change simulation app from ScienceBySimulation

Quick steps: • Select a scenario, and/or specify and save a trend for each greenhouse gas (GHG) • Click "Simulate" to run a climate simulation

Specify Emissions Trend	Select GHG:
Set Mid-Century Year
Specify Mid-Century Emissions		PgC
Specify Final Emissions (in the year 2100)		PgC

Select scenario:

Run simulation:

View Detailed Results

Emissions Trends	Year 2011	Mid-Century	Year 2100
CO2 (PgC) Mid-century:	0	0	0
CH4 (TgCH4) Mid-century:	0	0	0
N2O (TgN) Mid-century:	0	0	0

Summary Results

Simulated Final State (year 2100): ∆T: 0 ^oC; ∆RF: 0 W/m2; CO2 Conc.: 0 ppm; CH4 Conc.: 0 ppb; N2O Conc.: 0 ppb

Legend: ∆T=global mean annual surface temperature change relative to year 1750 (deg C); T=absolute mean annual surface temperature (deg K); ∆RF=radiative forcing relative to year 1750 (W/m2); Conc.=atmospheric concentration (ppm or ppb); λ=climate sensitivity (deg C/W/m2); ε=atmospheric longwave emissivity or absorptivity at thermal equlibrium (unitless); R=radiant flux density (W/m2); SW=shortwave; LW=longwave; A=albedo.

Detailed Simulation Results:
Global Earth System Response to GHG Perturbation

Year	Co2 Conc. (ppm)	CH4 Conc. (ppb)	N2O Conc. (ppb)	Co2 ∆RF (W/m2)	CH4 ∆RF (W/m2)	N2O ∆RF (W/m2)	Total ∆RF (W/m2)	λ (deg C/W/m2)	ε (unitless)	∆T (deg C)
2011	391.00	1803.00	324.00	1.82	0.51	0.18	2.51	0.39	0.90	0.99
2012	395.95	1803.00	327.30	1.89	0.51	0.19	2.59	0.39	0.90	1.00
2013	398.47	1803.00	330.60	1.93	0.51	0.20	2.63	0.39	0.90	1.02
2014	401.04	1803.00	333.90	1.96	0.51	0.21	2.67	0.38	0.90	1.03
2015	403.65	1803.00	337.19	2.00	0.51	0.22	2.72	0.38	0.90	1.04
2016	406.30	1803.00	340.49	2.03	0.51	0.23	2.76	0.38	0.90	1.05
2017	408.99	1803.00	343.79	2.07	0.51	0.24	2.81	0.38	0.90	1.06
2018	411.72	1803.00	347.09	2.10	0.51	0.25	2.86	0.37	0.90	1.07
2019	414.49	1803.00	350.39	2.14	0.51	0.26	2.90	0.37	0.90	1.08
2020	417.30	1803.00	353.69	2.17	0.51	0.27	2.95	0.37	0.90	1.09
2021	420.14	1803.00	356.99	2.21	0.51	0.28	2.99	0.37	0.90	1.10
2022	423.02	1803.00	360.28	2.25	0.51	0.29	3.04	0.36	0.90	1.11
2023	426.03	1803.00	363.58	2.28	0.51	0.30	3.09	0.36	0.90	1.12
2024	429.56	1803.00	366.88	2.33	0.51	0.31	3.14	0.36	0.90	1.13
2025	433.66	1803.00	370.18	2.38	0.51	0.32	3.20	0.36	0.90	1.14
2026	438.42	1803.00	373.48	2.44	0.51	0.33	3.27	0.35	0.90	1.16
2027	443.90	1803.00	376.78	2.50	0.51	0.34	3.35	0.35	0.90	1.17
2028	450.06	1803.00	380.08	2.58	0.51	0.35	3.43	0.35	0.91	1.19
2029	456.27	1803.00	383.37	2.65	0.51	0.36	3.51	0.34	0.91	1.21
2030	462.54	1803.00	386.67	2.72	0.51	0.37	3.60	0.34	0.91	1.22
2031	468.87	1803.00	389.97	2.80	0.51	0.38	3.68	0.34	0.91	1.24
2032	475.26	1803.00	393.27	2.87	0.51	0.38	3.76	0.33	0.91	1.26
2033	481.70	1803.00	396.57	2.94	0.51	0.39	3.84	0.33	0.91	1.27
2034	488.19	1803.00	399.87	3.01	0.51	0.40	3.92	0.33	0.91	1.29
2035	494.73	1803.00	403.16	3.08	0.51	0.41	4.00	0.33	0.91	1.31
2036	501.33	1803.00	406.46	3.15	0.51	0.42	4.08	0.32	0.91	1.32
2037	507.97	1803.00	409.76	3.22	0.51	0.43	4.16	0.32	0.91	1.34
2038	514.66	1803.00	413.06	3.29	0.51	0.44	4.24	0.32	0.91	1.36
2039	521.39	1803.00	416.36	3.36	0.51	0.45	4.32	0.32	0.91	1.37
2040	528.18	1803.00	419.66	3.43	0.51	0.46	4.40	0.32	0.91	1.39
2041	535.00	1803.00	422.96	3.50	0.51	0.47	4.48	0.31	0.91	1.40
2042	541.87	1803.00	426.25	3.57	0.51	0.48	4.55	0.31	0.91	1.42
2043	548.78	1803.00	429.55	3.64	0.51	0.49	4.63	0.31	0.91	1.44
2044	555.72	1803.00	432.85	3.71	0.51	0.49	4.71	0.31	0.91	1.46
2045	562.71	1803.00	436.15	3.77	0.51	0.50	4.78	0.31	0.91	1.47
2046	569.74	1803.00	439.45	3.84	0.51	0.51	4.86	0.31	0.91	1.49
2047	576.81	1803.00	442.75	3.90	0.51	0.52	4.93	0.31	0.91	1.51
2048	583.91	1803.00	446.05	3.97	0.51	0.53	5.01	0.30	0.91	1.53
2049	591.04	1803.00	449.34	4.04	0.51	0.54	5.08	0.30	0.91	1.54
2050	598.22	1803.00	452.64	4.10	0.51	0.55	5.15	0.30	0.91	1.56
2051	605.32	1803.00	455.94	4.16	0.51	0.56	5.23	0.30	0.91	1.58
2052	612.35	1803.00	459.24	4.22	0.51	0.57	5.30	0.30	0.91	1.60
2053	619.32	1803.00	462.54	4.29	0.51	0.57	5.36	0.30	0.91	1.62
2054	626.21	1803.00	465.84	4.34	0.51	0.58	5.43	0.30	0.91	1.64
2055	633.04	1803.00	469.14	4.40	0.51	0.59	5.50	0.30	0.91	1.65
2056	639.80	1803.00	472.43	4.46	0.51	0.60	5.56	0.30	0.91	1.67
2057	646.49	1803.00	475.73	4.52	0.51	0.61	5.63	0.30	0.91	1.69
2058	653.11	1803.00	479.03	4.57	0.51	0.62	5.69	0.30	0.91	1.71
2059	659.66	1803.00	482.33	4.62	0.51	0.63	5.75	0.30	0.91	1.73
2060	666.15	1803.00	485.63	4.68	0.51	0.63	5.81	0.30	0.91	1.75
2061	672.56	1803.00	488.93	4.73	0.51	0.64	5.87	0.30	0.91	1.77
2062	678.90	1803.00	492.23	4.78	0.51	0.65	5.93	0.30	0.91	1.79
2063	685.18	1803.00	495.52	4.83	0.51	0.66	5.99	0.30	0.91	1.81
2064	691.39	1803.00	498.82	4.87	0.51	0.67	6.05	0.30	0.91	1.83
2065	697.53	1803.00	502.12	4.92	0.51	0.68	6.10	0.30	0.91	1.84
2066	703.60	1803.00	505.42	4.97	0.51	0.68	6.16	0.30	0.92	1.86
2067	709.60	1803.00	508.72	5.01	0.51	0.69	6.21	0.30	0.92	1.88
2068	715.53	1803.00	512.02	5.06	0.51	0.70	6.26	0.30	0.92	1.90
2069	721.39	1803.00	515.32	5.10	0.51	0.71	6.32	0.30	0.92	1.92
2070	727.19	1803.00	518.61	5.14	0.51	0.72	6.37	0.30	0.92	1.94
2071	732.91	1803.00	521.91	5.19	0.51	0.73	6.42	0.31	0.92	1.96
2072	738.57	1803.00	525.21	5.23	0.51	0.73	6.47	0.31	0.92	1.98
2073	744.16	1803.00	528.51	5.27	0.51	0.74	6.51	0.31	0.92	2.00
2074	749.68	1803.00	531.81	5.31	0.51	0.75	6.56	0.31	0.92	2.02
2075	755.13	1803.00	535.11	5.35	0.51	0.76	6.61	0.31	0.92	2.04
2076	760.51	1803.00	538.41	5.38	0.51	0.77	6.66	0.31	0.92	2.06
2077	765.82	1803.00	541.70	5.42	0.51	0.77	6.70	0.31	0.92	2.08
2078	771.06	1803.00	545.00	5.46	0.51	0.78	6.74	0.31	0.92	2.10
2079	776.24	1803.00	548.30	5.49	0.51	0.79	6.79	0.31	0.92	2.12
2080	781.34	1803.00	551.60	5.53	0.51	0.80	6.83	0.31	0.92	2.14
2081	786.38	1803.00	554.90	5.56	0.51	0.81	6.87	0.31	0.92	2.16
2082	791.35	1803.00	558.20	5.60	0.51	0.81	6.92	0.31	0.92	2.18
2083	796.25	1803.00	561.49	5.63	0.51	0.82	6.96	0.32	0.92	2.20
2084	801.08	1803.00	564.79	5.66	0.51	0.83	7.00	0.32	0.92	2.21
2085	805.84	1803.00	568.09	5.69	0.51	0.84	7.04	0.32	0.92	2.23
2086	810.53	1803.00	571.39	5.72	0.51	0.84	7.07	0.32	0.92	2.25
2087	815.16	1803.00	574.69	5.76	0.51	0.85	7.11	0.32	0.92	2.27
2088	819.71	1803.00	577.99	5.79	0.51	0.86	7.15	0.32	0.92	2.29
2089	824.20	1803.00	581.29	5.81	0.51	0.87	7.19	0.32	0.92	2.31
2090	828.61	1803.00	584.58	5.84	0.51	0.88	7.22	0.32	0.92	2.33
2091	832.96	1803.00	587.88	5.87	0.51	0.88	7.26	0.32	0.92	2.35
2092	837.24	1803.00	591.18	5.90	0.51	0.89	7.29	0.32	0.92	2.37
2093	841.45	1803.00	594.48	5.93	0.51	0.90	7.33	0.33	0.92	2.39
2094	845.59	1803.00	597.78	5.95	0.51	0.91	7.36	0.33	0.92	2.41
2095	849.66	1803.00	601.08	5.98	0.51	0.91	7.40	0.33	0.92	2.42
2096	853.67	1803.00	604.38	6.00	0.51	0.92	7.43	0.33	0.92	2.44
2097	857.60	1803.00	607.67	6.03	0.51	0.93	7.46	0.33	0.92	2.46
2098	861.47	1803.00	610.97	6.05	0.51	0.94	7.49	0.33	0.92	2.48
2099	865.27	1803.00	614.27	6.07	0.51	0.94	7.52	0.33	0.92	2.50
2100	868.99	1803.00	617.57	6.10	0.51	0.95	7.55	0.33	0.93	2.51

Latitudinal Mean Temperatures (T, deg K)

Year	Mean	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	287.55	269.83	283.26	295.66	283.26	269.83
2050	288.12	270.43	283.83	296.25	283.83	270.43
2100	289.07	271.36	284.78	297.23	284.78	271.36

Latitudinal Net Incoming/Outgoing Radiant Flux Densities (R, W/m2)

Latitude	Incoming SW Radiation - 2011	Incoming SW Radiation - 2050	Incoming SW Radiation - 2100	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2011	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2050	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2100
90	123.242	123.465	123.465	190.558	190.697	190.783
45	209.629	209.629	209.629	225.906	225.921	225.945
0	295.792	295.792	295.792	264.957	264.891	264.785
-45	209.629	209.629	209.629	225.906	225.921	225.945
-90	123.242	123.465	123.465	190.558	190.697	190.783

Planetary Albedos (A)

Year	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	0.301	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.301
2050	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300
2100	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300

Surface Albedos (A)

Year	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	0.103	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.103
2050	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100
2100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100