ClimateSimTM a climate-change simulation app from ScienceBySimulation
 

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Quick steps: • Select a scenario, and/or specify and save a trend for each greenhouse gas (GHG) • Click "Simulate" to run a climate simulation
Specify Emissions Trend Select GHG:   
Set Mid-Century Year
Specify Mid-Century Emissions PgC
Specify Final Emissions (in the year 2100) PgC

Select scenario: Run simulation: View Detailed Results
Emissions Trends Year 2011 Mid-Century Year 2100
CO2 (PgC)
Mid-century:
0 0 0
CH4 (TgCH4)
Mid-century:
0 0 0
N2O (TgN)
Mid-century:
0 0 0
        Summary Results
Simulated Final State (year 2100):  T: 0  oC; RF: 0  W/m2; CO2 Conc.: 0  ppm; CH4 Conc.: 0  ppb; N2O Conc.: 0  ppb

Legend: T=global mean annual surface temperature change relative to year 1750 (deg C); T=absolute mean annual surface temperature (deg K); RF=radiative forcing relative to year 1750 (W/m2); Conc.=atmospheric concentration (ppm or ppb); λ=climate sensitivity (deg C/W/m2); ε=atmospheric longwave emissivity or absorptivity at thermal equlibrium (unitless); R=radiant flux density (W/m2); SW=shortwave; LW=longwave; A=albedo.

Detailed Simulation Results:
Global Earth System Response to GHG Perturbation

Year Co2 Conc. (ppm)CH4 Conc. (ppb)N2O Conc. (ppb)Co2 ∆RF (W/m2)CH4 ∆RF (W/m2)N2O ∆RF (W/m2)Total ∆RF (W/m2)λ (deg C/W/m2)ε (unitless)∆T (deg C)
2011391.001803.00324.001.820.510.182.510.390.900.99
2012395.911805.53327.331.890.510.192.590.390.901.00
2013398.401810.52330.711.930.510.202.630.390.901.02
2014400.911817.92334.111.960.510.212.680.380.901.03
2015403.451827.66337.551.990.510.222.730.380.901.04
2016406.011839.68341.022.030.520.232.780.380.901.05
2017408.591853.92344.522.060.520.242.830.380.901.06
2018411.201870.32348.062.090.530.252.880.370.901.07
2019413.831888.83351.622.130.540.262.930.370.901.08
2020416.491909.40355.222.160.540.272.980.370.901.10
2021419.171931.97358.842.200.550.283.030.360.901.11
2022422.181956.50362.492.240.560.303.090.360.901.12
2023425.821982.92366.172.280.570.313.160.360.901.13
2024430.182008.67369.882.340.580.323.230.360.901.15
2025435.352033.75373.612.400.590.333.320.350.901.17
2026440.912058.19377.362.470.600.343.400.350.911.18
2027446.512082.01381.152.530.600.353.490.340.911.20
2028452.142105.21384.952.600.610.363.580.340.911.22
2029457.812127.83388.782.670.620.373.660.340.911.24
2030463.512149.86392.632.730.630.383.750.330.911.25
2031469.252171.32396.512.800.630.393.830.330.911.27
2032475.022192.24400.402.870.640.413.910.330.911.29
2033480.822212.62404.322.930.650.424.000.330.911.31
2034486.662232.47408.253.000.660.434.080.320.911.32
2035492.522251.82412.213.060.660.444.160.320.911.34
2036498.422270.67416.193.120.670.454.240.320.911.36
2037504.342289.04420.183.190.670.464.320.320.911.37
2038510.292306.94424.203.250.680.474.400.320.911.39
2039516.272324.37428.233.310.690.484.480.310.911.41
2040522.282341.36432.283.370.690.494.560.310.911.42
2041528.312357.92436.353.440.700.504.640.310.911.44
2042534.372374.05440.433.500.700.524.710.310.911.46
2043540.452389.77444.533.560.710.534.790.310.911.47
2044546.562405.08448.653.620.710.544.870.310.911.49
2045552.692420.00452.783.680.720.554.940.310.911.51
2046558.852434.54456.923.740.720.565.020.300.911.53
2047565.022448.71461.083.790.730.575.090.300.911.55
2048571.222462.51465.263.850.730.585.160.300.911.56
2049577.442475.96469.453.910.730.595.240.300.911.58
2050583.682489.06473.653.970.740.605.310.300.911.60
2051589.872498.93477.824.020.740.615.380.300.911.62
2052596.022505.58481.964.080.740.625.450.300.911.64
2053602.112509.06486.074.130.740.645.510.300.911.66
2054608.162509.39490.154.190.740.655.580.300.911.68
2055614.162506.61494.194.240.740.665.640.300.911.70
2056620.112500.74498.214.290.740.675.700.300.911.71
2057626.022491.80502.194.340.740.685.760.300.911.73
2058631.872479.84506.154.390.730.695.810.300.911.75
2059637.682464.87510.074.440.730.705.870.300.911.77
2060643.442446.93513.964.490.720.715.920.300.911.78
2061649.152426.03517.814.540.720.725.970.300.911.80
2062654.812402.20521.644.580.710.726.020.300.911.82
2063660.432378.37525.444.630.700.736.070.300.911.83
2064666.002354.54529.204.670.700.746.110.300.921.85
2065671.512330.71532.934.720.690.756.160.300.921.86
2066676.992306.88536.634.760.680.766.200.300.921.88
2067682.412283.05540.314.800.670.776.250.300.921.90
2068687.782259.23543.944.850.660.786.290.300.921.91
2069693.112235.40547.554.890.660.796.330.300.921.93
2070698.392211.57551.134.930.650.806.370.300.921.94
2071703.622187.74554.674.970.640.806.410.310.921.96
2072708.802163.91558.195.010.630.816.450.310.921.98
2073713.932140.08561.675.050.620.826.490.310.921.99
2074719.022116.25565.125.080.620.836.530.310.922.01
2075724.062092.42568.545.120.610.846.570.310.922.02
2076729.052068.59571.935.160.600.856.600.310.922.04
2077733.992044.77575.295.190.590.856.640.310.922.05
2078738.882020.94578.615.230.580.866.670.310.922.07
2079743.731997.11581.915.260.580.876.710.310.922.08
2080748.521973.28585.175.300.570.886.740.310.922.10
2081753.271949.45588.405.330.560.886.780.310.922.11
2082757.971925.62591.605.370.550.896.810.310.922.13
2083762.621901.79594.775.400.540.906.840.310.922.14
2084767.231877.96597.915.430.530.916.870.310.922.15
2085771.791854.14601.025.460.520.916.900.310.922.17
2086776.291830.31604.095.490.520.926.930.310.922.18
2087780.751806.48607.145.520.510.936.960.320.922.20
2088785.171782.65610.155.550.500.936.990.320.922.21
2089789.531758.82613.135.580.490.947.010.320.922.22
2090793.851734.99616.085.610.480.957.040.320.922.24
2091798.111711.16619.005.640.470.957.070.320.922.25
2092802.331687.33621.895.670.460.967.090.320.922.26
2093806.511663.51624.745.700.450.977.120.320.922.28
2094810.631639.68627.575.730.440.977.140.320.922.29
2095814.701615.85630.365.750.430.987.170.320.922.30
2096818.731592.02633.125.780.430.997.190.320.922.31
2097822.711568.19635.855.800.420.997.210.320.922.32
2098826.641544.36638.555.830.411.007.230.320.922.34
2099830.521520.53641.225.860.401.007.260.320.922.35
2100834.361496.70643.865.880.391.017.280.320.922.36
Latitudinal Mean Temperatures (T, deg K)
YearMeanLatitude +90Latitude +45Latitude 0Latitude -45Latitude -90
2011287.55269.83283.26295.66283.26269.83
2050288.16270.47283.87296.30283.87270.47
2100288.92271.21284.63297.07284.63271.21
Latitudinal Net Incoming/Outgoing Radiant Flux Densities (R, W/m2)
LatitudeIncoming SW Radiation - 2011Incoming SW Radiation - 2050Incoming SW Radiation - 2100Outgoing LW Radiation - 2011Outgoing LW Radiation - 2050Outgoing LW Radiation - 2100
90123.242123.465123.465190.558190.701190.769
45209.629209.629209.629225.906225.922225.941
0295.792295.792295.792264.957264.886264.802
-45209.629209.629209.629225.906225.922225.941
-90123.242123.465123.465190.558190.701190.769
Planetary Albedos (A)
YearLatitude +90Latitude +45Latitude 0Latitude -45Latitude -90
20110.3010.3000.3000.3000.301
20500.3000.3000.3000.3000.300
21000.3000.3000.3000.3000.300
Surface Albedos (A)
YearLatitude +90Latitude +45Latitude 0Latitude -45Latitude -90
20110.1030.1000.1000.1000.103
20500.1000.1000.1000.1000.100
21000.1000.1000.1000.1000.100




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