ClimateSimTM a climate-change simulation app from ScienceBySimulation
 

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Quick steps: • Select a scenario, and/or specify and save a trend for each greenhouse gas (GHG) • Click "Simulate" to run a climate simulation
Specify Emissions Trend Select GHG:   
Set Mid-Century Year
Specify Mid-Century Emissions PgC
Specify Final Emissions (in the year 2100) PgC

Select scenario: Run simulation: View Detailed Results
Emissions Trends Year 2011 Mid-Century Year 2100
CO2 (PgC)
Mid-century:
0 0 0
CH4 (TgCH4)
Mid-century:
0 0 0
N2O (TgN)
Mid-century:
0 0 0
        Summary Results
Simulated Final State (year 2100):  T: 0  oC; RF: 0  W/m2; CO2 Conc.: 0  ppm; CH4 Conc.: 0  ppb; N2O Conc.: 0  ppb

Legend: T=global mean annual surface temperature change relative to year 1750 (deg C); T=absolute mean annual surface temperature (deg K); RF=radiative forcing relative to year 1750 (W/m2); Conc.=atmospheric concentration (ppm or ppb); λ=climate sensitivity (deg C/W/m2); ε=atmospheric longwave emissivity or absorptivity at thermal equlibrium (unitless); R=radiant flux density (W/m2); SW=shortwave; LW=longwave; A=albedo.

Detailed Simulation Results:
Global Earth System Response to GHG Perturbation

Year Co2 Conc. (ppm)CH4 Conc. (ppb)N2O Conc. (ppb)Co2 ∆RF (W/m2)CH4 ∆RF (W/m2)N2O ∆RF (W/m2)Total ∆RF (W/m2)λ (deg C/W/m2)ε (unitless)∆T (deg C)
2011391.001803.00324.001.820.510.182.510.390.900.99
2012395.961803.00327.301.890.510.192.590.390.901.00
2013398.481803.00330.601.930.510.202.630.390.901.02
2014401.051803.00333.901.960.510.212.670.380.901.03
2015403.651803.00337.192.000.510.222.720.380.901.04
2016406.301803.00340.492.030.510.232.760.380.901.05
2017408.991803.00343.792.070.510.242.810.380.901.06
2018411.701803.00347.092.100.510.252.860.370.901.07
2019414.461803.00350.392.140.510.262.900.370.901.08
2020417.241803.00353.692.170.510.272.950.370.901.09
2021420.051803.00356.992.210.510.282.990.370.901.10
2022422.901803.00360.282.240.510.293.040.360.901.11
2023425.901803.00363.582.280.510.303.090.360.901.12
2024429.431803.00366.882.330.510.313.140.360.901.13
2025433.541803.00370.182.380.510.323.200.360.901.14
2026438.301803.00373.482.440.510.333.270.350.901.16
2027443.801803.00376.782.500.510.343.350.350.901.17
2028449.761803.00380.082.570.510.353.430.350.911.19
2029455.771803.00383.372.640.510.363.510.340.911.21
2030461.811803.00386.672.720.510.373.590.340.911.22
2031467.811803.00389.972.780.510.383.670.340.911.24
2032473.771803.00393.272.850.510.383.740.340.911.25
2033479.701803.00396.572.920.510.393.820.330.911.27
2034485.591803.00399.872.980.510.403.890.330.911.28
2035491.441803.00403.163.050.510.413.970.330.911.30
2036497.251803.00406.463.110.510.424.040.330.911.31
2037503.031803.00409.763.170.510.434.110.320.911.33
2038508.761803.00413.063.230.510.444.180.320.911.34
2039514.461803.00416.363.290.510.454.250.320.911.36
2040520.131803.00419.663.350.510.464.320.320.911.37
2041525.751803.00422.963.410.510.474.380.320.911.38
2042531.341803.00426.253.470.510.484.450.310.911.40
2043536.891803.00429.553.520.510.494.510.310.911.41
2044542.401803.00432.853.580.510.494.580.310.911.43
2045547.871803.00436.153.630.510.504.640.310.911.44
2046553.311803.00439.453.680.510.514.700.310.911.45
2047558.711803.00442.753.730.510.524.760.310.911.47
2048564.071803.00446.053.790.510.534.820.310.911.48
2049569.391803.00449.343.840.510.544.880.310.911.50
2050574.671803.00452.643.890.510.554.940.310.911.51
2051579.921803.00455.943.930.510.565.000.300.911.52
2052585.131803.00459.243.980.510.575.050.300.911.54
2053590.301803.00462.544.030.510.575.110.300.911.55
2054595.431803.00465.844.070.510.585.160.300.911.56
2055600.531803.00469.144.120.510.595.220.300.911.58
2056605.591803.00472.434.170.510.605.270.300.911.59
2057610.611803.00475.734.210.510.615.320.300.911.61
2058615.591803.00479.034.250.510.625.380.300.911.62
2059620.541803.00482.334.300.510.635.430.300.911.63
2060625.451803.00485.634.340.510.635.480.300.911.65
2061630.321803.00488.934.380.510.645.530.300.911.66
2062635.151803.00492.234.420.510.655.580.300.911.68
2063639.941803.00495.524.460.510.665.630.300.911.69
2064644.701803.00498.824.500.510.675.670.300.911.71
2065649.421803.00502.124.540.510.685.720.300.911.72
2066654.101803.00505.424.580.510.685.770.300.911.73
2067658.741803.00508.724.620.510.695.810.300.911.75
2068663.351803.00512.024.650.510.705.860.300.911.76
2069667.921803.00515.324.690.510.715.900.300.911.78
2070672.451803.00518.614.730.510.725.950.300.911.79
2071676.941803.00521.914.760.510.735.990.300.911.81
2072681.391803.00525.214.800.510.736.040.300.911.82
2073685.811803.00528.514.830.510.746.080.300.911.84
2074690.191803.00531.814.860.510.756.120.300.921.85
2075694.531803.00535.114.900.510.766.160.300.921.87
2076698.831803.00538.414.930.510.776.200.300.921.88
2077703.101803.00541.704.960.510.776.240.300.921.89
2078707.331803.00545.005.000.510.786.280.300.921.91
2079711.521803.00548.305.030.510.796.320.300.921.92
2080715.671803.00551.605.060.510.806.360.300.921.94
2081719.791803.00554.905.090.510.816.400.310.921.95
2082723.861803.00558.205.120.510.816.440.310.921.97
2083727.901803.00561.495.150.510.826.480.310.921.98
2084731.901803.00564.795.180.510.836.510.310.922.00
2085735.871803.00568.095.210.510.846.550.310.922.01
2086739.801803.00571.395.240.510.846.590.310.922.03
2087743.681803.00574.695.260.510.856.620.310.922.04
2088747.531803.00577.995.290.510.866.660.310.922.06
2089751.351803.00581.295.320.510.876.690.310.922.07
2090755.121803.00584.585.350.510.886.730.310.922.09
2091758.861803.00587.885.370.510.886.760.310.922.10
2092762.561803.00591.185.400.510.896.790.310.922.12
2093766.221803.00594.485.420.510.906.830.310.922.14
2094769.851803.00597.785.450.510.916.860.310.922.15
2095773.431803.00601.085.470.510.916.890.310.922.17
2096776.981803.00604.385.500.510.926.930.310.922.18
2097780.491803.00607.675.520.510.936.960.320.922.20
2098783.971803.00610.975.550.510.946.990.320.922.21
2099787.401803.00614.275.570.510.947.020.320.922.23
2100790.801803.00617.575.590.510.957.050.320.922.24
Latitudinal Mean Temperatures (T, deg K)
YearMeanLatitude +90Latitude +45Latitude 0Latitude -45Latitude -90
2011287.55269.83283.26295.66283.26269.83
2050288.07270.38283.78296.20283.78270.38
2100288.80271.09284.51296.95284.51271.09
Latitudinal Net Incoming/Outgoing Radiant Flux Densities (R, W/m2)
LatitudeIncoming SW Radiation - 2011Incoming SW Radiation - 2050Incoming SW Radiation - 2100Outgoing LW Radiation - 2011Outgoing LW Radiation - 2050Outgoing LW Radiation - 2100
90123.242123.465123.465190.558190.692190.758
45209.629209.629209.629225.906225.919225.938
0295.792295.792295.792264.957264.897264.815
-45209.629209.629209.629225.906225.919225.938
-90123.242123.465123.465190.558190.692190.758
Planetary Albedos (A)
YearLatitude +90Latitude +45Latitude 0Latitude -45Latitude -90
20110.3010.3000.3000.3000.301
20500.3000.3000.3000.3000.300
21000.3000.3000.3000.3000.300
Surface Albedos (A)
YearLatitude +90Latitude +45Latitude 0Latitude -45Latitude -90
20110.1030.1000.1000.1000.103
20500.1000.1000.1000.1000.100
21000.1000.1000.1000.1000.100




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