ClimateSimTM a climate-change simulation app from ScienceBySimulation
 

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Quick steps: • Select a scenario, and/or specify and save a trend for each greenhouse gas (GHG) • Click "Simulate" to run a climate simulation
Specify Emissions Trend Select GHG:   
Set Mid-Century Year
Specify Mid-Century Emissions PgC
Specify Final Emissions (in the year 2100) PgC

Select scenario: Run simulation: View Detailed Results
Emissions Trends Year 2011 Mid-Century Year 2100
CO2 (PgC)
Mid-century:
0 0 0
CH4 (TgCH4)
Mid-century:
0 0 0
N2O (TgN)
Mid-century:
0 0 0
        Summary Results
Simulated Final State (year 2100):  T: 0  oC; RF: 0  W/m2; CO2 Conc.: 0  ppm; CH4 Conc.: 0  ppb; N2O Conc.: 0  ppb

Legend: T=global mean annual surface temperature change relative to year 1750 (deg C); T=absolute mean annual surface temperature (deg K); RF=radiative forcing relative to year 1750 (W/m2); Conc.=atmospheric concentration (ppm or ppb); λ=climate sensitivity (deg C/W/m2); ε=atmospheric longwave emissivity or absorptivity at thermal equlibrium (unitless); R=radiant flux density (W/m2); SW=shortwave; LW=longwave; A=albedo.

Detailed Simulation Results:
Global Earth System Response to GHG Perturbation

Year Co2 Conc. (ppm)CH4 Conc. (ppb)N2O Conc. (ppb)Co2 ∆RF (W/m2)CH4 ∆RF (W/m2)N2O ∆RF (W/m2)Total ∆RF (W/m2)λ (deg C/W/m2)ε (unitless)∆T (deg C)
2011391.001803.00324.001.820.510.182.510.390.900.99
2012395.961803.00327.301.890.510.192.590.390.901.00
2013398.491803.00330.601.930.510.202.630.390.901.02
2014401.061803.00333.901.960.510.212.670.380.901.03
2015403.691803.00337.192.000.510.222.720.380.901.04
2016406.351803.00340.492.030.510.232.770.380.901.05
2017409.071803.00343.792.070.510.242.810.380.901.06
2018411.821803.00347.092.100.510.252.860.370.901.07
2019414.621803.00350.392.140.510.262.900.370.901.08
2020417.451803.00353.692.180.510.272.950.370.901.09
2021420.331803.00356.992.210.510.283.000.370.901.10
2022423.251803.00360.282.250.510.293.040.360.901.11
2023426.271803.00363.582.290.510.303.090.360.901.12
2024429.821803.00366.882.330.510.313.140.360.901.13
2025433.951803.00370.182.380.510.323.210.360.901.14
2026438.731803.00373.482.440.510.333.270.350.901.16
2027444.231803.00376.782.510.510.343.350.350.901.17
2028450.491803.00380.082.580.510.353.430.350.911.19
2029456.811803.00383.372.660.510.363.520.340.911.21
2030463.191803.00386.672.730.510.373.600.340.911.23
2031469.641803.00389.972.810.510.383.690.340.911.24
2032476.141803.00393.272.880.510.383.770.330.911.26
2033482.701803.00396.572.950.510.393.850.330.911.28
2034489.321803.00399.873.020.510.403.930.330.911.29
2035496.001803.00403.163.100.510.414.020.330.911.31
2036502.731803.00406.463.170.510.424.100.320.911.33
2037509.511803.00409.763.240.510.434.180.320.911.34
2038516.341803.00413.063.310.510.444.260.320.911.36
2039523.221803.00416.363.380.510.454.340.320.911.38
2040530.151803.00419.663.450.510.464.420.320.911.39
2041537.131803.00422.963.520.510.474.500.310.911.41
2042544.151803.00426.253.590.510.484.580.310.911.43
2043551.221803.00429.553.660.510.494.650.310.911.44
2044558.331803.00432.853.730.510.494.730.310.911.46
2045565.491803.00436.153.800.510.504.810.310.911.48
2046572.681803.00439.453.870.510.514.880.310.911.50
2047579.921803.00442.753.930.510.524.960.310.911.51
2048587.201803.00446.054.000.510.535.040.300.911.53
2049594.511803.00449.344.070.510.545.110.300.911.55
2050601.861803.00452.644.130.510.555.190.300.911.57
2051609.211803.00455.944.200.510.565.260.300.911.59
2052616.561803.00459.244.260.510.575.330.300.911.61
2053623.901803.00462.544.320.510.575.400.300.911.63
2054631.231803.00465.844.390.510.585.480.300.911.65
2055638.571803.00469.144.450.510.595.550.300.911.67
2056645.901803.00472.434.510.510.605.620.300.911.69
2057653.221803.00475.734.570.510.615.680.300.911.71
2058660.541803.00479.034.630.510.625.750.300.911.73
2059667.861803.00482.334.690.510.635.820.300.911.75
2060675.171803.00485.634.750.510.635.890.300.911.77
2061682.491803.00488.934.800.510.645.950.300.911.79
2062689.791803.00492.234.860.510.656.020.300.911.82
2063697.091803.00495.524.920.510.666.080.300.911.84
2064704.391803.00498.824.970.510.676.150.300.921.86
2065711.691803.00502.125.030.510.686.210.300.921.88
2066718.981803.00505.425.080.510.686.270.300.921.91
2067726.271803.00508.725.140.510.696.340.300.921.93
2068733.551803.00512.025.190.510.706.400.310.921.95
2069740.831803.00515.325.240.510.716.460.310.921.98
2070748.111803.00518.615.300.510.726.520.310.922.00
2071755.381803.00521.915.350.510.736.580.310.922.03
2072762.651803.00525.215.400.510.736.640.310.922.05
2073769.921803.00528.515.450.510.746.700.310.922.08
2074777.181803.00531.815.500.510.756.760.310.922.10
2075784.441803.00535.115.550.510.766.810.310.922.13
2076791.691803.00538.415.600.510.776.870.310.922.15
2077798.941803.00541.705.650.510.776.930.310.922.18
2078806.191803.00545.005.700.510.786.980.320.922.21
2079813.431803.00548.305.740.510.797.040.320.922.24
2080820.671803.00551.605.790.510.807.090.320.922.26
2081827.901803.00554.905.840.510.817.150.320.922.29
2082835.131803.00558.205.880.510.817.200.320.922.32
2083842.361803.00561.495.930.510.827.260.320.922.35
2084849.581803.00564.795.980.510.837.310.330.922.38
2085856.801803.00568.096.020.510.847.360.330.922.41
2086864.021803.00571.396.070.510.847.420.330.922.44
2087871.231803.00574.696.110.510.857.470.330.922.46
2088878.441803.00577.996.160.510.867.520.330.922.50
2089885.651803.00581.296.200.510.877.570.330.932.53
2090892.851803.00584.586.240.510.887.620.340.932.56
2091900.041803.00587.886.290.510.887.670.340.932.59
2092907.241803.00591.186.330.510.897.720.340.932.62
2093914.431803.00594.486.370.510.907.770.340.932.65
2094921.611803.00597.786.410.510.917.820.340.932.68
2095928.801803.00601.086.450.510.917.870.340.932.71
2096935.971803.00604.386.490.510.927.920.350.932.75
2097943.151803.00607.676.540.510.937.970.350.932.78
2098950.321803.00610.976.580.510.948.020.350.932.81
2099957.491803.00614.276.620.510.948.070.350.932.85
2100964.651803.00617.576.660.510.958.110.360.932.88
Latitudinal Mean Temperatures (T, deg K)
YearMeanLatitude +90Latitude +45Latitude 0Latitude -45Latitude -90
2011287.55269.83283.26295.66283.26269.83
2050288.13270.44283.84296.26283.84270.44
2100289.44271.72285.13298.03285.13271.72
Latitudinal Net Incoming/Outgoing Radiant Flux Densities (R, W/m2)
LatitudeIncoming SW Radiation - 2011Incoming SW Radiation - 2050Incoming SW Radiation - 2100Outgoing LW Radiation - 2011Outgoing LW Radiation - 2050Outgoing LW Radiation - 2100
90123.242123.465123.465190.558190.698190.820
45209.629209.629209.629225.906225.921226.006
0295.792295.792295.792264.957264.890263.167
-45209.629209.629209.629225.906225.921226.006
-90123.242123.465123.465190.558190.698190.820
Planetary Albedos (A)
YearLatitude +90Latitude +45Latitude 0Latitude -45Latitude -90
20110.3010.3000.3000.3000.301
20500.3000.3000.3000.3000.300
21000.3000.3000.3000.3000.300
Surface Albedos (A)
YearLatitude +90Latitude +45Latitude 0Latitude -45Latitude -90
20110.1030.1000.1000.1000.103
20500.1000.1000.1000.1000.100
21000.1000.1000.1000.1000.100




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